EMISSIONS: EU Emissions Track 11% Y/Y Increase
Jun-04 13:18
EU emissions are tracking an 11% year-on-year increase so far this year due to increased fossil-fuel generation amid low wind output data from Independent Commodity Intelligence Services showed, cited by Bloomberg.
- For example, German carbon emissions stood at 67.6mn tons CO2e in January-May this year, up from 61.7mn tons during the same period in 2024.
- If low wind speeds will persist through summer and into winter, the EU could see its first year-on-year emissions increase since 2022.
- “Models are showing calmer wind conditions for the start of summer, followed by some pick up in August. September onwards the forecast gets a lot more difficult,” said Jess Hicks, a BNEF Weather Analyst said.
- “Overall, there is the possibility for an uptick of wind for the start of winter, but November and December could potentially be calmer again like last winter”, the analyst added.
Want to read more?
Find more articles and bullets on these widgets:
Historical bullets
US TSYS: Surprise Corporate Issuance Weighs on Tsys
May-05 13:07
- On an otherwise quiet start to a FOMC week and spring holiday closures -- today's potential outsized corporate issuance from Apple Inc and Comcast likely tempered the recent bounce in Tsys - spec-tied selling ahead of rate lock hedging has pushed futures back near early overnight lows:
- Tsy Jun'25 10Y back to steady at 111-05 after rising to 111-13.5 (+8.5) ahead of the opening bell, early overnight low at 111-04.5. Initial technical support is at 111-02 (Low Mar 2 / 50-dma) followed by 110-30.5 (50-day EMA). A clear breach of this average would strengthen a bearish threat and expose 110-16+, the Apr 22 low.
PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: Apple Inc, Comcast Guidance & Historicals
May-05 12:57
- Apple and Comcast deals likely to lead today's corporate bond issuance. Estimates for Apple issuance range from $5-10B today based on issuance size and frequency over the last five years (though Apple did make it into the top 20 list of largest issuance with $17B on April 30, 2013).
- As for Comcast, estimate for today's 3pt deal is under $5B based on issuance over the last five years ($2-4B), though Comcast is in the top 10 largest issuance with $27B over 12 tranches on October 2, 2018 -- reportedly for Sky PLC financing.
- Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
- 05/05 $Benchmark Apple Inc 3Y +45a, 5Y +50a, 7Y +60a, 10Y +70a
- 05/05 $Benchmark Comcast 7Y +115a, 10Y +130a, 30Y +155a
- 05/05 $Benchmark American Int Group 5Y, 10Y, details TBA
- 05/05 $Benchmark ADP 7Y +80a
BONDS: US 10yr Yield moves above Friday's high
May-05 12:50
- Bund fades somewhat, taking its cue from the move lower in US Treasuries, TYM5 is sold in 6.5k, USM5 1k.
- Although the US Tnotes (TYM5) hasn't broken 111.02, Friday's low, the US 10yr has moved above Friday's high, printed a 4.3336% high.
- The resistance in the 10yr Yield will now be back at 4.40% which equates to 110.24+.
