US TSYS: Yesterday’s Rally Consolidated, 20Y Auction Leads Calendar
Oct-22 10:42
Treasuries are marginally firmer overnight, with intraday gains earlier helped by softer than expected UK in what’s otherwise seen little moves of note.
Today’s 20Y re-open highlights an otherwise thin docket after last month’s solid auction.
Trump’s NATO meeting will also be watched later on, as will his comments more broadly throughout the day. He yesterday urged Senate Republicans to hold the line on the government shutdown – now the second longest in history – whilst also floating that the meeting with China’s Xi maybe won’t happen albeit having said he expects to make a good deal with Xi just beforehand.
Cash yields are 0.6-1.0bp lower across the curve.
TYZ5 trades unchanged at 113-24 in what has been a particularly narrow range of 113-21 to 113-25 under subdued cumulative volumes of 200k.
The bull cycle remains intact, with resistance seen at 114-02 (Oct 17 high) before 114-10 (Apr 7 high continuation), whilst support is seen at 113-03+ (20-day EMA).
Data: Weekly MBA mortgage applications (0700ET)
Coupon issuance: US Tsy $13B 20Y Bond re-open - 91210UN6 (1300ET). Last month’s 20Y auction saw a small 0.2bp trade through along with more encouraging internals, with a bounce in bid-to-cover and indirect take-up along with the lowest dealer take since mid-2024.
Bill issuance: US Tsy $69B 17W bill auction (1130ET)
Politics: Trump in NATO meeting (1600ET)
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