EQUITIES: E-Minis On The Defensive Into The NY Cash Open

Jul-20 13:24

The post-jobless claims extension of the Tsy cheapening adds some pressure to S&P 500 e-minis, which look though Asia-Pac lows as a result, with bears threatening a clean break of 4,5800 at typing.

  • That comes after a combination of disappointing after-market earnings from the likes of Tesla & Netflix, as well as a negative lead from China, kept the pressure on the space through pre-NY trade, while firmer than expected headline earnings releases from Johnson & Johnson did little to generate support.
  • The soft tech earnings released after market, coupled with downgrade in guidance from semiconductor giant TSMC, means that the NASDAQ 100 leads the weakness in the e-mini space (-0.9%), with the S&P 500 contract also lower (-0.4%), while the DJIA contract is close to unchanged.
  • Post-earnings, pre-market:
  • IBM -1.3%
  • Johnson & Johnson -1.5%
  • Tesla -4.2%
  • Netflix -6.3%
  • Technically, the S&P 500 e-mini saw the rally accelerate further on Wednesday, with prices surging through the top-end of the bull channel drawn off the March 13 low. This marks another positive shift for short-term momentum and clears the way for a test of the March 29 2022 high (4,631.00). Nonetheless, the RSI has now tipped into overbought territory, signalling a slowing of the uptrend could dominate. Any corrective pullback would initially target the 20-day EMA (4,482.32).

Historical bullets

CANADA: CIBC: FTSE Canada Universe Bond Index Will See Relatively Small Index Extension

Jun-20 13:12

CIBC note that “the FTSE Canada Universe Bond Index will experience a relatively small extension of +0.013 years from now to July 4th as a result of approximately C$7.1bln worth of bonds rolling out of the index. Meanwhile, duration changes in the Short, Mid and Long segments are rather insignificant at 0.006 years, -0.006 years, and -0.004 years respectively.”

STIR: Effective Fed Funds Rate

Jun-20 13:10

FRBNY EFFR for prior session:

  • Daily Effective Fed Funds Rate: 5.08% volume: $129B
  • Daily Overnight Bank Funding Rate: 5.06% volume: $285B

PIPELINE: GM, Barclays Debt Issuance

Jun-20 13:08
  • Corporate debt issuance resuming after a week's absence.
  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 06/20 $Benchmark General Motors 5Y +200a, 10Y Tap +260a
  • 06/20 $Benchmark CBRE Services 11Y +260a
  • 06/20 $Benchmark Sempra Energy 3Y +130a, 10Y +190a
  • 06/20 $Benchmark Export Development Canada 3Y SOFR+26a
  • 06/20 $Benchmark Barclays 11NC10 +360a
  • 06/20 $2.7B Civitas investor calls, $1.35B each: 5NC2, 8NC3
  • 06/20 $Benchmark Nasdaq filing to issue US$ & Euro-denominated debt to fund Adenza acquisition