EQUITIES: E-Mini S&P Trading Just Below the Late-January Highs

Feb-10 10:30

The medium-term trend condition in EuroStoxx 50 futures remains bullish and the latest pullback through the 50-day EMA appears corrective. A clear break below this average would undermine the bull theme and signal scope for a deeper retracement. The bull trigger is at 6086.00, the Jan 3 high. A move through this hurdle would resume the primary uptrend. A short-term bearish theme in S&P E-Minis resulted in a break last week of 6814.50, the Jan 21 low and a bear trigger. This proved short-lived, however, with prices rising swiftly back above to begin this week. Note this puts the contract back above the 20- and 50-day EMAs. Any continuation lower would open 6691.56, a Fibonacci retracement point. The contract has recovered today. Initial firm resistance now is 7025.43, the 1.0% 10-dma envelope. A break of this hurdle would be bullish.

  • Japan's NIKKEI closed higher by 1286.6 pts or +2.28% at 57650.54 and the TOPIX ended 71.71 pts higher or +1.9% at 3855.28.
  • Elsewhere, in China the SHANGHAI closed higher by 5.285 pts or +0.13% at 4128.373 and the HANG SENG ended 155.99 pts higher or +0.58% at 27183.15.
  • Across Europe, Germany's DAX trades higher by 36.91 pts or +0.15% at 25050.61, FTSE 100 lower by 30.41 pts or -0.29% at 10355.56, CAC 40 up 46.43 pts or +0.56% at 8368.9 and Euro Stoxx 50 up 12.06 pts or +0.2% at 6070.71.
  • Dow Jones mini up 34 pts or +0.07% at 50254, S&P 500 mini up 2.5 pts or +0.04% at 6986.25, NASDAQ mini down 5.5 pts or -0.02% at 25352.25.

Historical bullets

AUSSIE 3-YEAR TECHS: (H6) Recovery Mode

Jan-10 22:45
  • RES 3: 97.796 - 1.618 proj of the Sep 3 - 12 - 15 price swing
  • RES 2: 96.780 - High Jun 26 (cont)
  • RES 1: 96.700 - High Sep 12  
  • PRICE: 95.890 @ 16:40 GMT Jan 9
  • SUP 1: 95.740 - Low Dec 22
  • SUP 2: 95.480 - Low 1st Nov ‘23
  • SUP 3: 94.932 - 1.0% 10-dma envelope

Prices bounced again Thursday, supported by strength in global bond markets and a smoother inflation picture at the December CPI print. As such, prices edged further away from recent lows. Nonetheless, slower pricing for additional RBA easing - and partial pricing for a return to rate hikes in 2026 - should keep the front-end of the curve under pressure. This keeps prices well below prior resistance at 96.615, the Sep 12 high, and refocuses attention on 95.480 as the next major support. 

MNI: MNI TEST 02, Please Ignore

Jan-09 23:36

Test Test TEST

MNI: MNI Test, Please Ignore

Jan-09 23:30

Test, ignore