EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (M6) Retracement Mode

Apr-09 13:43
  • RES 4: 7035.00 High Feb 25    
  • RES 3: 6963.00 High Mar 2  
  • RES 2: 6921.09 76.4% retracement of the Jan 28 - Mar 31 bear leg  
  • RES 1: 6873.25 High Mar 11       
  • PRICE: 6811.25 @ 14:33 BST Apr 9
  • SUP 1: 6667.15 20-day EMA   
  • SUP 2: 6567.00/6503.75 Low Apr 6 and key S/T support / Low Apr 2 
  • SUP 3: 6353.25 Low Mar 31 and key support 
  • SUP 4: 6316.61 3.236 proj of the Feb 11 - 17 - 25 price swing

A strong rally in S&P E-Minis on Wednesday highlights an extension of the reversal that started Mar 31. Note that trend signals remain bearish and for now, gains are considered corrective. A continuation higher would open 6921.09 next, a Fibonacci retracement point. Key medium-term resistance and the bull trigger is far off at 7096.50, the Jan 28 high. Initial firm support to watch lies at 6567.00, the Apr 6 low.

Historical bullets

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Call Spread buyer

Mar-10 13:40

ERM6 98.0625/98.1875cs, bought for 0.75 in 8k.

SOFR OPTIONS: Put Spread seller

Mar-10 13:28

SFRZ6 96.50/96.25ps, sold at 8 in 4k.

GOLD: Spot Above $5,200/oz

Mar-10 13:23

Upside in gold extends, resulting in the highest spot level since last Tuesday, crossing above $5,200/oz. Comes alongside a move away from session lows in Tsys and BBDXY ticking back towards session lows, no major macro news flow of note. Next upside level of note located at the March 2 high ($5,419.1/oz).