EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (H6) Key Support Remains Exposed

Mar-13 13:48
  • RES 4: 6983.75 High Feb 25     
  • RES 3: 6878.09 50-day EMA 
  • RES 2: 6839.26 20-day EMAl
  • RES 1: 6769.50 High Mar 12      
  • PRICE: 6715.25 @ 13:38 GMT Mar 13
  • SUP 1: 6640.00 Intraday low   
  • SUP 2: 6583.00 Low Nov 21 ‘25 and a key medium-term support 
  • SUP 3: 6534.52 1.382 proj of the Feb 25 - Mar 3 - 5 price swing
  • SUP 4: 6503.25 1.500 proj of the Feb 25 - Mar 3 - 5 price swing 

A sharp bounce in S&P E-Minis on Monday and the reversal from Tuesday’s high highlights the fact that recent gains were most likely corrective. This has allowed a recent oversold trend condition to unwind. A continuation lower would open 6583.00, the Nov 21 ‘25 low and the next key medium-term support. Clearance of this level would strengthen a bearish threat. Initial firm resistance is 6878.09, the 50-day EMA.

Historical bullets

CANADA DATA: Dec Building Permits +6.8% After Prior -13% On Residential

Feb-11 13:44
  • Dec building permits +6.8% led by +7.1% residential and +6.3% non-residential.
  • Q4 2025 permits registered the largest quarterly increase since Q4 2021, driven by residential growth.
  • Multi-units permits drove residential construction in December, StatsCan says Wednesday.
  • YOY permits -3.6%.
  • For 2025, StatsCan said Wed: "the number of units authorized for construction was up 19,100 to 308,600 in 2025, a record high. Gains in authorized multi-unit dwellings (+22,600) were moderated by declines in intentions to build single-family homes (-3,500)."

US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: Mar'26 10Y Sale Post Data

Feb-11 13:43
  • -9,381 TYH6 112-02, sell through 112-02.5 post time bid at 0836:24ET, DV01 $616,000.
  • The 10Y contract trades 112-04 last (-12.5) amid heavy two-way post-data trade, futures off 112-00 low (technical support: 20-day EMA)

FOREX: USDJPY Highs Sold Aggressively - Pair Below Pre-Data Levels

Feb-11 13:43
  • Greenback's initial NFP rally has largely reversed: but it's USDJPY that's most eye-catching here - USDJPY's print at 154.65 has been sold aggressively, and pair is now below pre-NFP levels. Is certainly helping the partial reversal and swing in likes of EURUSD off respective session lows. More to come.