CZK: Koruna Trades Flat Amid Lack Of Major Catalysts

Aug-14 09:41

EUR/CZK trades flat at 25.183 as local headline flow offers little in the way of impactful catalysts, leaving the koruna to oscillate within a tight range as market participants take stock of the current situation and monitor external developments. The technical picture remains more or less the same, with bulls looking to a renewed attack on recent cycle highs printed at 25.535. Meanwhile, a dip through the 50-DMA (25.122) and 100-DMA (25.075) would open up the 25.0 figure.

  • CZGB yields are slightly lower across the curve, while the PX Index has added 0.6%.
  • Looking ahead, Czechia will report July PPI data on Friday.

Historical bullets

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Z4/Z5 Call Package Trades

Jul-15 09:40

A little earlier: ERZ4 97.12 calls 40K sold vs. 0RZ4 98.00/98.25 call spread, package trades at 1.

EU-BOND AUCTION RESULTS: 3/15-Year EU-Bonds

Jul-15 09:40
2.875% Dec-27 EU-bond 3.375% Oct-38 EU-bond
ISIN EU000A3K4EW6 EU000A3K4D74
Amount E2.533bln E1.9bln
Previous E2.362bln E1.703bln
Avg yield 2.878% 3.268%
Previous 3.080% 3.240%
Bid-to-cover 1.07x 1.44x
Previous 1.91x 1.30x
Avg Price 99.992 101.180
Low Price 99.970 101.140
Pre-auction mid 99.975 101.101
Prev avg price 99.333 101.530
Prev low price 99.310 101.460
Prev mid-price 99.320 101.422
Previous date 27-May-24 04-Mar-24

EGBS: Bunds Off Intraday Highs After Overnight Gap Lower Retraced

Jul-15 09:40

Bund futures are off intraday highs, currently +14 ticks at 131.87. First resistance remains at 132.08 (July 11 high).

  • EGB futures gapped lower overnight alongside Tsys in response to the weekend assassination attempt on former President Trump.
  • However, European desks opted to retrace that move at the open, aided by a softer European equity backdrop.
  • The German cash curve has bull steepened a little, although both 2s10s and 5s30s remain short of early-July highs.
  • Eurozone May industrial production was slightly less weak than expected (-0.6% M/M vs -0.7% cons and -2.9% Y/Y vs -3.6% cons), but was not a market mover
  • 10-year peripheral spreads to Bunds now trade a little tighter, after opening slightly wider.
  • The ECB decision on Thursday headlines this week’s regional calendar, though no change in policy settings are expected.