EM ASIA CREDIT: Credit Supply: New Korea Development - 3y, 5y and 5y frn.

In post-Tokyo trade, JGB futures closed weaker, -9 compared to settlement levels, after a heavy NY session for US tsys. Benchmark yields finished 3-7bps higher, with the 7-year leading.

• Projected US rate cuts into early 2025 were steady to slightly lower vs. yesterday’s open (*) as follows: Jan'25 steady at -2.1bp, Mar'25 -11.7bp (-13.7bp), May'25 -16.0bp (-18.8bp), Jun'25 -23.4bp (-25.3bp).
• Little reaction to a flurry of mixed data: November posted improved home sales figures compared with a soft October, but revised New home sales came in roughly as expected at 664k on a seasonally-adjusted annualized rate, up from 627k prior (upwardly revised from 610k), following on from data showing a 4.8% M/M increase in existing home sales in November to the highest level since March at 4.15M.
• Headline durable goods orders figure of -1.1% M/M, the "miss" vs -0.3% expected was offset by an upward revision to the prior growth reading to 0.8% from 0.3%. Transportation equipment - a typically volatile category - led the decline, falling -2.9% M/M, with nondefense aircraft/parts down 7.0%.
• Today, the local calendar will see BOJ Minutes of Oct. Meeting and Dept Store Sales alongside an Auction for Enhanced-Liquidity 15.5-39 YR.

TYH5 is 108-19, +0-04 from NY closing levels. 

• Yesterday, Treasury futures closed near the low end of the day's range, TYH5 briefly traded through 108-16.5 support before bouncing to 108-17 after the bell.
• US data was mixed.
• Curves steeper with short end rates outperforming (2s10s now at 25.015 vs. 19.960 low) - despite late 2s5s flattener block in late trade: 17,300 TUH5 102-21.38, slightly through the 102-21.25 post time offer vs. 15,300 FVH5 106-04.37, well through the 106-03.75 post time offer.
• Yesterday’s Tsy $69B 2Y note auction (91282CME8) came out on the screws: 4.335% high yield vs. 4.335% WI; 2.73x bid-to-cover vs. 2.77x prior. Tuesday sees Tsy $28B 2Y FRN & $70B 5Y Note auctions.

• RES 3: 96.975 - High Mar 14 
• RES 2: 96.501 - 76.4% of the Mar 14 - Nov 1 ‘23 bear leg
• RES 1: 96.207 - 61.8% of the Mar 14 - Nov 1 ‘23 bear leg
• PRICE: 95.530 @ 16:28 GMT Dec 23
• SUP 1: 95.460 - Low Dec 20
• SUP 2: 95.275 - Low Nov 14
• SUP 3: 94.734 - 1.0% 10-dma envelope

Aussie 10-yr futures slipped further into the Thursday close, undermining early December strength. This works against the previous short-term bull cycle. A continuation higher would refocus attention on resistance at the 96.207 level, a Fibonacci retracement. On the downside, a stronger bearish reversal would instead expose 95.275.