INDONESIA: Country Wrap: Further Handouts for Low Income Earners

Aug-14 05:25

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* The Ministry of Tourism on Wednesday signed memoranda of understanding (MoUs) with four ministri...

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LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Jul-15 05:23
DateUKPeriodEvent
15-Jul2100Q1Mansion House: Chancellor Reeves and BOE Bailey
16-Jul0700Q1Consumer inflation report
17-Jul0700Q1Labour Market Survey
22-Jul0700Q1Public Sector Finances
23-Jul0001Q1Brightmine pay deals for whole economy
24-Jul0930Q1S&P Global Flash PMI
24-Jul1100Q1CBI Industrial Trends
25-Jul0001Q1Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
25-Jul0700Q1Retail Sales
28-Jul1100Q1CBI Distributive Trades
29-Jul0001Q1BRC Monthly Shop Price Index
29-Jul0930Q1BOE Lending to Individuals   M4
01-Aug0930Q1S&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Manufacturing PMI

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Jul-15 05:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
15-Jul0800ESHICP (f)
15-Jul1000EUIndustrial Production
15-Jul1000DEZEW Current Expectations Index
16-Jul0900ITHICP (f)
16-Jul1000EUTrade Balance
17-Jul1000EUHICP (f)
17-Jul----EUECB Cipollone At G20 Meeting
18-Jul0700DEPPI
18-Jul0900EUEZ Current Account
18-Jul1000EUConstruction Production
18-Jul----EUECB Cipollone At G20 Meeting
21-Jul1000EUEZ Quarterly GDP Third Estimate
22-Jul0900EUECB Bank Lending Survey
23-Jul1500EUConsumer Confidence Indicator (p)

JGBS: Bear-Steeper But Off Cheapest Levels

Jul-15 05:16

JGB futures are weaker, -13 compared to settlement levels, but ranges have been narrow.

  • Today, the local calendar will be empty apart from 5-year Climate Transition supply.
  • Cash US tsys are little changed in today’s Asia-Pac session. Focus is on today’s June CPI inflation data and several Fed speakers ahead of Friday evening's policy blackout.
  • Cash JGBs are flat to 7bps cheaper across benchmarks, with a steeper curve. The benchmark 10-year yield is 0.7bp higher at 1.589% after revisiting the cycle high of 1.596% earlier in the session.
  • As Japan's upper house elections approach (held July 20), focus remains on the relentless rise in longer-dated JGB yields. The 30-year is up 1bp at 3.182% after hitting 3.219%. This is a fresh high on record (since it was debuted in 1999, per BBG). Concerns around fiscal slippage are a factor in the JGB sell-off. The 2/30yr JGB curve is at +240bps, just off multi-decade highs.
  • Swap rates are ~1bp higher to 1bp lower, with a flatter curve. Swap spreads are mostly tighter.
  • Tomorrow, the local calendar will be empty.