USDCAD TECHS: Corrective Cycle Extends

Jul-06 07:01
  • RES 4: 1.3462 High Jun 5
  • RES 3: 1.3427 High Jun 7
  • RES 2: 1.3362 50-day EMA
  • RES 1: 1.3306 Intraday high
  • PRICE: 1.3288@ 08:00 BST Jul 6
  • SUP 1: 1.3190/3117 Low Jun 28 / 27 and key support
  • SUP 2: 1.3084 1.618 proj of the Apr 28 - May 8 - May 26 price swing
  • SUP 3: 1.2992 50.0% retracement of the Jun - Oct 2022 bull rally
  • SUP 4: 1.2954 Low Sep 13 2022

USDCAD has traded higher and managed to push through resistance at the 20-day EMA. The latest recovery still appears to be a correction and the trend is bearish. Looking at MA studies, they remain in a bear mode position, highlighting a downtrend. A resumption of weakness would open 1.3117, the Jun 27 low and bear trigger. On the upside, an extension higher would expose the next important resistance at 1.3362, the 50-day EMA

Historical bullets

USDCAD TECHS: Bearish Extension

Jun-06 07:01
  • RES 4: 1.3730 76.4% retracement of the Mar 10 - Apr 14 low
  • RES 3: 1.3695 High Mar 28
  • RES 2: 1.3668 High Apr 28 and key resistance
  • RES 1: 1.3516/85 20-day EMA / High Jun 1
  • PRICE: 1.3403 @ 07:59 BST Jun 6
  • SUP 1: 1.3397 Intraday low
  • SUP 2: 1.3363 Low May 11
  • SUP 3: 1.3315 Low May 8
  • SUP 4: 1.3302 Low Apr 14 and a key near-term support

USDCAD maintains a softer tone following the reversal from the May 26 high of 1.3655. Price is trading lower today. The impulsive nature of the latest sell-off signals scope for a deeper pullback and the next support to watch is 1.3404, the May 16 low. This level has been pierced, a clear break would expose 1.3315, the May 8 low and a key support point. On the upside, initial resistance is at 1.3516, the 20-day EMA.

EUROZONE ISSUANCE: EU-bond syndication: 7/20-yera dual-tranche

Jun-06 06:59

1.625% Dec-29 EU-bond

  • Guidance: MS -1bps area
  • Size: E3bln WNG

3.375% Nov-42 EU-bond

  • Guidance: MS +54bps area
  • Size: E4bln WNG
For both:
  • JLMs: Danske Bank, Deutsche Bank, GSBE, JP Morgan, Societe Generale (B&D/DM)
  • Settlement: 13 June 2023 (T+5)
  • Timing: Books open, today’s business

From market source

EQUITIES: EU Cash opening calls

Jun-06 06:54

Estox 50: -0.31%, Dax: -0.24%, CAC: -0.17%, FTSE -0.28%, SMI -0.26%.