OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Bear Threat In Bunds Remains Present
Dec-30 13:17
In the FI space, despite recent gains Bund futures remain in a clear downtrend and the latest move higher appears corrective. Recent weakness confirmed a resumption of the downtrend, signalling scope for a move towards 126.53, the Mar 11 low (cont.). Initial firm resistance is seen at 127.86, the 20-day EMA. A break of this average would signal the start of a stronger correction. The bear trigger is 126.75, the Dec 22 low.
Recent price action in Gilt futures highlights 90.50, the Dec 16 low, and 91.93, the Nov 27 high, as two important short-term directional triggers. A clear breach of support at 90.50 would signal scope for a deeper retracement towards 89.86, the Nov 19 low and a bear trigger. For bulls, a stronger resumption of gains and a breach of 91.93, would instead signal scope for a climb towards resistance at 92.55, the Nov 11 high.