ASIA: Coming Up in Asia Today

Nov-13 21:43
0330GMT1030HKT1230AEDTChina New Home Prices MoM OCTOBER
0330GMT1030HKT1230AEDTChina Used Home Prices MoM OCTOBER
0400GMT1100HKT1300AEDTChina Retail Sales YoY OCTOBER
0400GMT1100HKT1300AEDTChina Retail Sales YTD  YoY OCTOBER 
0400GMT1100HKT1300AEDTChina Industrial Production YoY OCTOBER
0400GMT1100HKT1300AEDTChina Industrial Production YTD  YoY OCTOBER
0400GMT1100HKT1300AEDTChina Fixed Assets ex-Rural YTD YoY OCTOBER
0400GMT1100HKT1300AEDTChina Surveyed Jobless Rate  OCTOBER
0400GMT1100HKT1300AEDTChina Property Investment YTD YoY  OCTOBER
0400GMT1100HKT1300AEDTChina Residential Property Sales YTD YoY OCTOBER
0545GMT1245HKT1445AEDTThailand Consumer Confidence OCTOBER
0545GMT1245HKT1445AEDTThailand Consumer Confidence Economic OCTOBER
0600GMT1300HKT1500AEDTMalaysia GDP SA QoQ 3Q
0600GMT1300HKT1500AEDTMalaysia GDP YoY   3Q
0430GMT1530HKT1730AEDTIndia Wholesale Prices YoY OCTOBER
0430GMT1630HKT1830AEDTThailand Gross International Reserves
0430GMT1630HKT1830AEDTThailand Forward Contracts

source:  Bloomberg Finance LP / MNI 

Historical bullets

JPY: USD/JPY Bullish Set Up Remains, Takaichi Seeking Meeting With Oppo Parties

Oct-14 21:42

USD/JPY tracks under 152.00 in early Wednesday dealings, after posting a modest gain for Tuesday's session. Bullish technical conditions persist, with the recent correction lower considered corrective for now. The next important support lies at 149.72, the 20-day EMA. On the upside, clearance of last Friday’s 153.27 high, would resume the uptrend and open 154.39, a Fibonacci retracement point. 

  • This backdrop didn't shift as Tuesday's session unfolded, with focus elsewhere, as EUR recovered some ground, while AUD/USD moved up from lows as the USTR said US-China talks were still continuing. AUD/JPY is near 98.40 in latest dealings, remaining supported on dips sub 98.00 for now.
  • Despite the bullish technical set up, more broadly, USD/JPY looks too high relative to US-JP yield differentials, see the chart below. Fed Chair Powell largely maintained status quo in terms of signaling another 25bp rate cut at the end of October, without a significant market reaction. Intervention risks also lurk in the background for USD/JPY.
  • Some offset is coming from continued domestic political uncertainty. The chairpersons of the House of Councillors' Diet Affairs Committees from the governing Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and main opposition Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP) met yesterday and agreed on the convening of an extraordinary session of the National Diet on 21 October (likely to elect a new PM). LDP leader Takaichi is seeking meetings with the three main opposition parties today (see this link).
  • On the data front today we have Aug final IP, while a 20yr debt auction is in focus on the JGB side.
  • In the option expiry space, note the following for NY cut later: Y143.00($1.8bln), Y150.00($1.1bln), Y151.55($956mln), Y151.95-00($500mln). 

Fig 1: USD/JPY Versus US-JP Yield Differentials 

image

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P./MNI 

ASIA: Government Bond Issuance Today

Oct-14 21:38
  • Bank of Korea to Sell KRW700bn 1-Year Bonds
  • Vietnam To Sell VND 0.5Tln 2055 Bonds; (TD2555052)
  • Vietnam To Sell VND 1.5Tln 2040 Bonds; (TD2540037)
  • Vietnam To Sell VND 8.0Tln 2035 Bonds; (TD2535024)
  • Vietnam To Sell VND 3.0Tln 2030 Bonds; (TD2530010)
  • Thailand to Sell THB30bn of New 2029 Bonds
  • Bank Indonesia to Sell 95D SUVBI Bills
  • Bank Indonesia to Sell 367D SUVBI Bills
  • Bank Indonesia to Sell 182D SUVBI Bills
  • Bank Indonesia to Sell 31D SUVBI Bills
  • Bank Indonesia to Sell 273D SUVBI Bills
  • Thailand to Sell THB15bn of 2040 Bonds
  • Singapore to Sell S$5.8 Billion 364-Day Bills
  • India to Sell INR60bn  364-Day Bills
  • India to Sell INR70bn  91-Day Bills
  • India to Sell INR60bn  182-Day Bills 

ASIA: Coming Up in Asia Today

Oct-14 21:37
0330GMT1030HKT1230AEDTChina PPI YoY SEPTEMBER
0330GMT1030HKT1230AEDTChina CPI YoY SEPTEMBER
0500GMT1200HKT1400AEDTSouth Korea Money Supply L SA MoM AUGUST
0500GMT1200HKT1400AEDTSouth Korea Money Supply M2 SA MoM AUGUST
   Indonesia  External Debt AUGUST
   India Unemployment Rate September
   India Exports YoY SEPTEMBER
   Philippines O/s Cash Remittances YoY
   India Imports YoY SEPTEMBER

source:  Bloomberg Finance LP /  MNI