CZECHIA: CNB Governor Guides Towards Rate Pause

Jun-11 08:04

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* CNB Governor Ale Michl told Bloomberg that he expects the Bank Board to keep the two-week repo r...

Historical bullets

EGBS: Citi Like 20-Year RFGB/Bund Tighteners

May-12 08:02

Late on Friday Citi noted that they “prefer EGB longs via 20-Year RFGB/Bund tighteners given the underperformance of FAN vs. the periphery in the recent tariff de-escalation rally and of the 20-Year Finnish sector on EGB curves due to supply indigestion, which we believe has peaked”.

US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (M5) Bear Cycle Extension

May-12 07:59
  • RES 4: 112-20+ High May 1 and a bull trigger  
  • RES 3: 112-01+ High May 2  
  • RES 2: 111-22   High May 7 and a key near-term resistance 
  • RES 1: 111-08   20-day EMA
  • PRICE:‌‌ 110-07+ @ 08:48 BST May 12
  • SUP 1: 110-01+/00 76.4% of the Apr 11 - May 1 bull leg 
  • SUP 2: 109-08   Low Apr 24 and key support
  • SUP 3: 108-26+ 76.4% retracement of the Jan 13 - Apr 7 bull cycle
  • SUP 4: 108-21   Low Feb 19  

Treasury futures are trading sharply lower today as the reversal that started May 1, extends. The next support to watch is 110-01+, a Fibonacci retracement point. Clearance of this level would strengthen a bearish theme and expose a key support at 109-08, the Apr 24 low. Key near-term resistance has been defined at 111-22, the May 7 high. A break of this level is required to signal a potential reversal. 

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Longer Dated Call Spread

May-12 07:58

ERH6 99.12/99.37cs, bought for 1.25 in 10k.