RUSSIA: CBR Deputy Governor Says CBR May Raise Key Rate Again; Inflation Data on the Docket

Aug-09 07:38
  • The CBR may increase its key interest rate at the next meeting in September, Izvestia newspaper reports citing an interview with Deputy Governor Zabotkin. The central bank may need more rate hikes to help achieve 4% inflation target, Zabotkin said, adding that goods price inflation has been partly triggered by ruble exchange rate, expanding domestic demand. Note that in July, the CBR raised its key rate 50bps to 8.50% and said in its accompanying press statement that they are open to further hikes at upcoming meetings.
  • The Federal Statistics Service will report July inflation data this afternoon (1700BST/1900 local time). The headline figure is seen increasing to 4.30% y/y from 3.25% in June. Meanwhile, prices are expected to rise 0.66% on a monthly basis. The Bank of Russia will publish current account balance for January-July.

Historical bullets

EGB OPTIONS: RXU3 136/137 Call Spread Given

Jul-10 07:30

RXU3 136/137 call spread, 3K given at 10.

STIR: SFRM4/U4 Flattener Flow

Jul-10 07:29

SFRM4/U4 ~2.7K given at -37.5, goes offered.

BONDS: Bid As Europe Settles In

Jul-10 07:23

Nothing in the way of fresh headline flow to trigger the latest uptick in bonds with U.S. TY & Bund futures back to flat/slightly positive territory on the day. S&P 500 & Euro STOXX 50 futures are off worst levels, but still sit lower vs. Friday’s close, while Chinese deflation worry generated most of the interest during Asia-Pac hours. Cash Tsys bull steepen, with the major benchmarks on that curve running flat to 3bp richer, while the German curve sees 0.5-1.5bp of richening in a more muted bull steepening move.