US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: Jun'26 30Y Ultra-Bond Sale

Feb-25 19:25

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* -2,720 WNM6 120-14, sell through 120-16 post time bid at 1416:07ET, DV01 $500,000....

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: Tuesday Data Calendar: ADP NER Pulse, Cons Confidence, 5Y Note Sale

Jan-26 19:13
  • US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate). All times ET
  • 01/27 0815 ADP Weekly NER Pulse, +8k prior
  • 01/27 0855 Redbook Retail Sales Index
  • 01/27 0900 FHFA House Price Index MoM (0.4%, 0.3%)
  • 01/27 0900 S&P Cotality CS 20-City MoM SA (0.32%, 0.20%), YoY (1.31%, 1.20%)
  • 01/27 1000 Richmond Fed Manufact. Index (-7, -5)
  • 01/27 1000 Conference Board Consumer Confidence (89.1, 90.6)
  • 01/27 1030 Dallas Fed Services Activity (-3.3, --)
  • 01/27 1130 US Tsy $90B 6W bill auction
  • 01/27 1300 US Tsy $70B 5Y Note auction (91282CPW5)
  • Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. / MNI

EURGBP TECHS: Support Remains Exposed

Jan-26 19:00
  • RES 4: 0.8813 76.4% retracement of the Nov 14 - Jan 6 bear leg   
  • RES 3: 0.8797 High Dec 17   
  • RES 2: 0.8781 61.8% retracement of the Nov 14 - Jan 6 bear leg
  • RES 1: 0.8716/46 50-day EMA / High Dec 31 & Jan 21
  • PRICE: 0.8680 @ 16:06 GMT Jan 26
  • SUP 1: 0.8644 Low Jan 6 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 0.8633 Low Sep 15
  • SUP 3: 0.8620 38.2% retracement of the Dec ‘24 - Nov ‘25 bull cycle 
  • SUP 4: 0.8597 Low Aug 14

Friday’s sell-off in EURGBP signals the potential end of a corrective recovery between Jan 6 - 21. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode set-up and this continues to suggest that recent short-term gains are corrective. Key support and the bear trigger lies at 0.8644, the Jan 6 low. A break of this level would confirm a resumption of the downtrend. Key short-term resistance is 0.8746, the Jan 21 high.    

PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: $4B Aramco, $2.5B GS & $2B Fifth Third Launched

Jan-26 18:44
  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 01/26 $4B #Aramco $500M 3Y +60, $1.5B 5Y +80, $1.25B 10Y +95, $750M 30Y +130
  • 01/26 $2.5B #Goldman Sachs 15NC10 +118
  • 01/26 $2B #Fifth Third Bancorp $1B 6NC5 +75, $1B 11NC10 +93
  • 01/26 $750M #Tyco Electronics Group $200M 5Y +48, $550M 10Y +70
  • 01/26 $500M #Isbank 11NC6 7.575%
  • 01/26 $Benchmark New York Life 3Y +40, 3Y SOFR+57
  • 01/26 $Benchmark Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations (CDC) 3Y +48
  • 01/26 $Benchmark Kingdom of Bahrain +8Y Sukuk, 12Y investor calls
  • 01/26 $Benchmark Ecuador 8Y 9.375a,13Y 9.875%
  • 01/26 $Benchmark United Airlines 5NC 5.5%
  • 01/26 $850M BioMarin 8NC3 investor calls