US: Biden To Host Japan's Kishida And ROK's Yoon At Camp David Aug 18

Jul-31 15:33

US President Joe Biden will host Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol at Camp David on August 18 for trilateral talks designed to draw the key Asian allies closer and firm up the bilateral relationship seen as central to the Biden administration's Indo-Pacific strategy. .

  • The White House said in a statement on Friday: “The three leaders will discuss expanding trilateral cooperation across the Indo-Pacific and beyond – including to address the continued threat posed by the DPRK and to strengthen ties with ASEAN and the Pacific Islands.”
  • White House National Security Council Spokesperson John Kirby told CNN the summit is a chance to reaffirm the, “iron-clad alliances between the United States and Japan, United States and the Republic of Korea, and the blossoming of the relationship between Japan and the ROK under the extraordinary leadership of both President Yoon and Prime Minister Kishida."
  • CNN notes: "It’s the first visit to Camp David by a foreign leader since Biden took office, and the first since 2015 when former President Barack Obama was in office."

Historical bullets

USDCAD TECHS: Corrective Cycle Still In Play

Jun-30 20:00
  • RES 4: 1.3427 High Jun 7
  • RES 3: 1.3382 50-day EMA
  • RES 2: 1.3355 High Jun 15
  • RES 1: 1.3280/86 20-day EMA / High Jun 29
  • PRICE: 1.3235 @ 16:15 BST Jun 30
  • SUP 1: 1.3190/3117 Low Jun 28 / 27 and key support
  • SUP 2: 1.3084 1.618 proj of the Apr 28 - May 8 - May 26 price swing
  • SUP 3: 1.2992 50.0% retracement of the Jun - Oct 2022 bull rally
  • SUP 4: 1.2954 Low Sep 13 2022

Demand for buying on dips helped USDCAD recover from an intraday pullback on Friday, prompting the pair to hold the week’s gains. Nonetheless, the latest recovery is considered corrective and the trend outlook remains bearish. Moving average studies are in a bear-mode position, highlighting a downtrend. A resumption of weakness would open 1.2992, a Fibonacci retracement. On the upside, firm resistance is seen at 1.3280, the 20-day EMA. Clearance of this level would expose the 50-day EMA, at 1.3382.

AUDUSD TECHS: Bearish Extension

Jun-30 19:30
  • RES 4: 0.6921 High Feb 20
  • RES 3: 0.6857/6900 High Jun 20 / 16 and key resistance
  • RES 2: 0.6701/6806 20-day EMA / High Jun 27
  • RES 1: 0.6665 Low Jun 30
  • PRICE: 0.6659 @ 15:53 BST Jun 30
  • SUP 1: 0.6596 Low June 29
  • SUP 2: 0.6579 Low Jun 5
  • SUP 3: 0.6562 76.4% retracement of the May 31 - Jun 16 rally
  • SUP 4: 0.6485 Low Jun 1

Despite a modest bounce Friday, the overarching outlook for AUDUSD remains soft following recent weakness and the extension of the reversal that started Jun 16. The downleg has resulted in a break of the 20- and 50-day EMAs, suggesting scope for a deeper retracement. 0.6627, 61.8% of the May 31 - Jun 16 rally, has also been cleared and this opens 0.6562 next, the 76.4% retracement point. Key resistance is 0.6900, the Jun 16 high. Initial firm resistance is at 0.6701, the 20-day EMA.

EURJPY TECHS: Maintains A Bullish Tone

Jun-30 19:00
  • RES 4: 159.92 2.236 proj of the May 11 - 29 - 31 price swing
  • RES 3: 159.09 2.0% 10-dma envelope
  • RES 2: 158.72 2.00 proj of the May 11 - 29 - 31 price swing
  • RES 1: 158.00 High Jun 28
  • PRICE: 157.77 @ 16:13 BST Jun 30
  • SUP 1: 155.06/154.05 Low Jun 23 / 20 and key short-term support
  • SUP 2: 154.26 20-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 153.09 Low Jun 16
  • SUP 4: 151.61 Low Jun 15

EURJPY maintains a bullish tone and the cross is holding on to its latest gains. This week’s price action reinforces a bullish theme and maintains the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Moving average studies are in a bull mode position too, highlighting positive market sentiment. The focus is on 158.72, a Fibonacci projection. Initial key support is at 155.06, the Jun 23 low.