USDJPY TECHS: Bear Threat Still Present

May-09 05:21
  • RES 4: 139.59 50.0% retracement of the Oct - Jan bear cycle
  • RES 3: 138.17 High Dec 15
  • RES 2: 136.63/137.91 High May 3 / High Mar 8 and key resistance
  • RES 1: 135.64 50.0% retracement of the May 2 - 4 bear leg
  • PRICE: 134.97 @ 06:17 BST May 9
  • SUP 1: 133.50 Low May 5
  • SUP 2: 133.02 Low Apr 26 and a key near-term support
  • SUP 3: 132.75 61.8% retracement of the Mar 24 - May 2 bull leg
  • SUP 4: 132.02 Low Apr 13

USDJPY appears vulnerable near-term following last week’s bearish price action and despite the latest shallow recovery. Price has breached the 20-day EMA and pierced support at the 50-day EMA which intersects at 133.95. A clear breach of this EMA would undermine the recent bullish theme and signal scope for a deeper pullback. Key resistance is unchanged at 137.91, the Mar 8 high. Initial firm resistance is at 136.63, last Wednesday’s high.

Historical bullets

MNI: US BANK DEPOSITS DECLINED BY $65B WEEK ENDING MARCH 29

Apr-07 22:03



  • MNI: US BANK DEPOSITS DECLINED BY $65B WEEK ENDING MARCH 29
  • FED DATA: SMALL BANK DESPOSITS INCREASED $1.5B WEEK OF MARCH 29
  • FED DATA: LARGE BANK DEPOSITS DECLINED $40B WEEK OF MARCH 29

MNI: US FEB CONSUMER CREDIT +$15.3B

Apr-07 19:00



  • MNI: US FEB CONSUMER CREDIT +$15.3B
  • US FEB REVOLVING CREDIT +$5.0B
  • US FEB NONREVOLVING CREDIT +$10.3B

STIR: UPDATE BLOCK, Jun'23 SOFR Structure

Apr-07 14:53

Volume update, package Blocked at 0930:52ET to 1028:13ET ref 95.06:

  • -10,000 SFRM3 95.25/95.50 call spds, 2.5 to 3.25 vs.
  • +10,000 SFRM3 94.93/95.00 put spds, 2.5 to 3.0