EGB SYNDICATION: Austria triple tranche: Final terms

Jan-18 13:21

New 10-year

  • Maturity: 20 February 2034
  • Size: E4.5bln inc E250mln retention (MNI expected E4-6bln)
  • Books closed in excess of E28bln (inc E2.05bln JLM interest)
  • Spread set earlier at MS+22bps (guidance was MS+23bps area)
  • ISIN: AT0000A39UW5
  • Coupon: Ann ACT/ACT, long first 20Feb25
5-year May-29 Green RAGB tap:
  • Size: E1.25bn (in E250mln retention)
  • Books closed in excess of E12bln (inc E2.85bln JLM interest)
  • Spread set earlier at MS-5bps (guidance was MS-3bps area)
  • ISIN: AT0000A33SH3

25-year May-49 Green RAGB tap:

  • Size: E1.25bn (in E250mln retention)
  • Books closed in excess of E24bln (inc E4.4255bln JLM interest)
  • Spread set earlier at MS+56bps (guidance was MS+59 bps area)
  • ISIN: AT0000A2Y8G4
For all:
  • Bookrunners: BARC(B&D/DM) / BofA / CITI / DB / JPM / Raiffeisen Bank International
  • Timing: Allocations to follow.
From market source

Historical bullets

BOE: Breeden's "low inflation (weak demand)" scenario is broadly in line with market pricing

Dec-19 13:15
  • Looking through the Breeden speech - she points to a couple of different scenarios and where Bank Rate would need to go to bring inflation back to target - in her high inflation scenario with second-round effects, Bank Rate would need to peak close to 7% in late-2025.
  • In her low inflation (weak demand) scenario she sets out a scenario which sees Bank Rate only falling back to a bit above 4% by the end of 2025 and 3% by the middle of 2026.
  • She doesn't set out her base case - and her low inflation scenario is broadly in line with market pricing by the end of 2024.
  • So she doesn't endorse market rates, and she basically is implying that market rates would need to see the lowest possible "likely" scenario.

BONDS: Italian 10yr Yield clears the 2023 low.

Dec-19 13:13
  • BTP and OAT are still leading, but French 10yr futures lags somewhat, as Italian 10yr Yield continues to clear the 2023 low.
  • The French 2.53% March low in 10yr Yield still holds, equates to 131.85, so far printed a 2.538% low.
  • BTP/Bund spread is now 4bps tighter and still eyeing the 160.00bps mark next.

MNI EXCLUSIVE: INTERVIEW: Clearing Rule To Boost Treasury Liquidity

Dec-19 13:10

MNI interviews Stanford Graduate School of Business economist Darrell Duffie about new rules on Treasury clearing -- on MNI Policy MainWire now, for more details please contact sales@marketnews.com.