ASIA STOCKS: Asian Equities Fluctuate On Trump Tariff Headlines

Jan-21 02:46

Asian markets experienced significant fluctuations Tuesday following U.S. President Donald Trump's warnings of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico by February 1, which dented earlier optimism about a gradual trade policy approach. South Korean stocks turned lower as Trump ordered a review of global trade practices, with battery and chemical shares plunging, though chipmakers saw gains. In China, markets briefly pared gains before recovering, supported by hopes that China may avoid immediate tariff measures, although the offshore yuan weakened.

  • South Korean stocks fell after initially opening higher, with the KOSPI losing 0.37% by late morning as Trump’s trade policy review rattled sentiment. Battery and chemical shares were among the biggest losers, with LG Energy Solution dropping 5.4% and POSCO Future M plunging 10%. However, chipmakers like SK hynix and Hanmi Semiconductor gained 1.4% and 2.22%, respectively, helping limit broader losses.
  • Taiwans TAIEX is little changed today, as TSMC and Hon Hai trades unchanged to 0.20% higher.
  • Japanese equities erased early gains as Trump’s tariff threats on Canada and Mexico dashed hopes for a moderate trade policy. Benchmark indices the TOPIX & Nikkei are now trading mixed although wrapped around unchanged for the day. Export-reliant carmakers were among the hardest hit, with Mazda Motor dropping 2.6%, as investors priced in potential risks to U.S.-bound exports.
  • Australian equities saw swings with the wider market however are trading 0.50% higher now, led by gains in Financials.
  • Trump’s tariff threats on Canada and Mexico weighed heavily on Asian sentiment. The Canadian dollar and Mexican peso tumbled as much as 1.4% and 0.9%, respectively, dragging down global risk appetite and reinforcing concerns about escalating trade tensions.

Historical bullets

TRUDEAU SAYS `WE HAVE A LOT OF WORK TO DO'

Dec-20 21:16
  • TRUDEAU SAYS `WE HAVE A LOT OF WORK TO DO'
  • TRUDEAU WANTS GOVT TO PREPARE FOR NEW US ADMINISTRATION
  • TRUDEAU DOESN'T ADDRESS QUESTIONS ABOUT HIS LEADERSHIP

USDCAD TECHS: A Pullback Would Be Considered Corrective

Dec-20 21:00
  • RES 4: 1.4539 3.382 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 1 - 6 price swing
  • RES 3: 1.4537 2.0% 10-dma envelope
  • RES 2: 1.4508 3.236 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 1 - 6 price swing
  • RES 1: 1.4467 High Dec 19 
  • PRICE: 1.4356 @ 16:56 GMT Dec 20
  • SUP 1: 1.4301 Low Dec 18  
  • SUP 2: 1.4174/4014 20- and 50-day EMA values 
  • SUP 3: 1.3928 Low Nov 25 and a key support
  • SUP 4: 1.3822 Low Nov 6

USDCAD bulls remain in the driver’s seat. While price faded into the Thursday close, the recent breach of 1.4178, the Nov 26 high, confirmed a resumption of the uptrend and this maintains the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The latest rally opens 1.4508 next, a Fibonacci projection level. Initial firm support to watch lies at 1.4174, the 20-day EMA. A pullback would be considered corrective.   

AUDUSD TECHS: Bearish Trend Structure

Dec-20 20:30
  • RES 4: 0.6550 High Nov 25
  • RES 3: 0.6501 50-day EMA               
  • RES 2: 0.6429 High Dec 12  
  • RES 1: 0.6337/6396 Low Dec 11 / 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 0.6263 @ 16:55 GMT Dec 20
  • SUP 1: 0.6199 Low Dec 19 
  • SUP 3: 0.6158 1.236 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
  • SUP 3: 0.6100 Round number support 
  • SUP 4: 0.6045 1.500 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing

The trend needle in AUDUSD continues to point south and this week’s fresh cycle lows and Wednesday’s sell-off, reinforce a bear theme. The move down maintains the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position too, highlighting a dominant downtrend. The break lower opens 0.6158 next, a Fibonacci projection. Initial firm resistance to watch is 0.6396, the 20-day EMA.