Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 4.33% (+0.02), volume: $1.167T
Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TCR): 4.33% (+0.02), volume: $1.137T
(rate, volume levels reflect prior session)
GBP: Light Volume Rally Sees GBP/USD Strength Falter Into 1.3331
Aug-06 12:02
The modest USD weakness seen into the NY crossover is helping GBP/USD higher, however strength is capped into Monday's post-NFP high of 1.3331 (EUR/USD saw a run higher on the break of the equivalent level). Today's moves are on relatively light volumes: CME GBP futures have seen a mere two-thirds average volume for this time day - typifying the quiet week we've had so far.
Resilient GBP/USD comes despite the NIESR estimates out earlier today that suggests the government are facing a more dire fiscal picture in Autumn than previously expected - suggesting markets are well priced for sharp spending cuts and/or tax rises at the next Budget.
Instead, it's the BoE decision Thursday that could be of more consequence, and in particular the vote split: 2-5-2 (50bps cut, 25bps cut, unch) is the modal consensus - and we flag that the baseline projections may become less useful as a communication tool going forward - and as such, less market relevant. Our full BoE preview is here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_Bo_E_Preview_Aug25_42afebd294.pdf
EUR/GBP remains in a nascent uptrend, evident in the recovery from last Thursday's low. Key resistance and the bull trigger remains at 0.8769, the Jul 27 high.
SONIA OPTIONS: SFIM6 97.00 Calls Lifted
Aug-06 11:49
SFIM6 97.00 calls paper paid 8.75 on 4K vs. 96.535.