EU TRANSPORTATION: Accor | 1Q results

Apr-24 16:13

(ACFP; NR/BBB-/BBB- Pos) 

"In a volatile political and consumer environment, the global demand in the hospitality sector remained sustained during the first quarter of 2025."

  • Premium & economy RevPar +3.4% driven by prices
    • France slight decline, UK decline, Germany moderate to up, Middle East and APAC +4.6% and Americas (mainly Brazil) continued strong growth
    • UK weakness it says on "weak confidence in the country's economic situation" - not great read-through for pure UK player
    • Whitbread (£ issuer, earnings 1st May)
    • Luxury RevPar +8.3% driven by 2/3 prices and 1/3 by improving occupancy
    • Net group revenue +9.2%

Medium term outlook confirmed which will mean:

  • RevPar growth of +3-4%
  • adj. EBITDA growth of +9-12%

Historical bullets

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Call Spread Unwind

Mar-25 16:12

ERM5 97.875 / 98.00 call spread, sold for 4 in 10k. Market contact suggests this is an unwind of an existing position.

GBP: GBPCAD: Tariff Risks Boost Cross to Near Nine-Year Highs

Mar-25 16:11
  • Tariff-related pessimism and domestic political uncertainty have left the Canadian dollar at the bottom of the G10 pile in 2025. GBPCAD remains 6% above the January lows, and the March high at 1.8779 represented a near nine-year high for the cross.
  • In similar vein to GBPAUD, moving average indicators remain in a bull-mode position, and the latest pullback has allowed the 20-day EMA to provide solid support so far. The average currently intersects at 1.8453.
image

Source for all charts: MNI/Bloomberg

(Green lines represent 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages)

FED: US TSY TO SELL $75.000 BLN 8W BILL MAR 27, SETTLE APR 01

Mar-25 16:05
  • US TSY TO SELL $75.000 BLN 8W BILL MAR 27, SETTLE APR 01