EU-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 3/6/12-month EU-bills

Nov-19 11:18
Type3-month EU-bill6-month EU-bill12-month EU-bill
MaturityFeb 6, 2026May 8, 2026Nov 6, 2026
AmountE827mlnE852mlnE801mln
TargetE1.0blnE1.0blnE1.0bln
PreviousE816mlnE852mlnE1.16bln
Avg yield1.958%1.991%2.020%
Previous1.953%1.977%2.012%
Bid-to-cover2.54x2.75x2.76x
Previous1.72x1.76x1.72x
Previous dateNov 05, 2025Nov 05, 2025Nov 05, 2025

Historical bullets

EGB OPTIONS: Bund downside Put Spread

Oct-20 10:57

RXF6 129.00/127.50ps, bought for 33 in 2k.

OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Bear Cycle In Oil Futures Intact

Oct-20 10:53
  • On the commodity front, a bull cycle in Gold remains intact and last week’s extension reinforces current conditions. The move higher maintains the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Sights are on the $4400.00 handle next, and $4404.9, a 3.500 projection of the May 15 - Jun 16 - 30 price swing. Note that the trend is in overbought territory. A move down - a correction - and would allow the overbought set-up to unwind. Support to watch lies at $3986.3, 20-day EMA.
  • A bearish theme in WTI futures remains intact and the move down last week reinforces current conditions. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend. Sights are on $54.89 next, the May 5 low, where a break would open $54.10, the Apr 9 low and a key support. Initial firm resistance is seen at $61.93, the 50-day EMA.

SOFR: Net Long Cover Dominates On Friday

Oct-20 10:42

OI data suggests net long cover dominated in SOFR futures on Friday, with some pockets of net short setting seen in the Greens/Blues. SOFR futures moved away from session highs on a combination of easing US/China trade tensions (following less inflammatory rhetoric from President Trump) and cooling fears around regional bank risks.

  • Long cover was seen in the Whites, Reds and Greens.
  • The largest daily OI change came in the H6 future (-29k change). 
 17/10/202516/10/2025Daily OI Change Daily OI Change In Packs
SFRU51,415,2861,409,090+6,196Whites-18,567
SFRZ51,473,2321,473,942-710Reds-23,437
SFRH61,101,4121,130,309-28,897Greens -8,159
SFRM61,038,5141,033,670+4,844Blues+2,450
SFRU61,006,6561,009,081-2,425  
SFRZ61,010,9041,023,925-13,021  
SFRH7817,130820,342-3,212  
SFRM7778,786783,565-4,779  
SFRU7666,693673,869-7,176  
SFRZ7778,606779,490-884  
SFRH8414,585417,352-2,767  
SFRM8376,370373,702+2,668  
SFRU8307,682308,228-546  
SFRZ8326,534328,657-2,123  
SFRH9201,028196,387+4,641  
SFRM9175,721175,243+478