AMERICAS GASOLINE: US Gasoline Stocks Fell by 2.72m bbl in Week to Aug. 15: EIA

Aug-20 14:43

EIA data showed US motor gasoline stocks drew by 2.72m bbl to 223.57m bbl in the seven days to Aug. 15, a 1.2% fall week-on-week. Large draws in PADDs 2 and 3 offset a strong build in PADD 1.

  • This is a larger build than the previous week, driven by lower production and higher net exports, which offset a fall in weekly demand.
  • Four-week average gasoline demand fell 0.34% to 9.009m b/d. Meanwhile, weekly demand was down by 158k bbl to 8.8m b/d. Demand is largely inline with the seasonal average.
  • Net gasoline exports rose by 171k b/d on the week to 364k b/d. Exports rose by 194k b/d, or 23.52% on the week to 1.02m b/d. Meanwhile, imports rose by 23k b/d, or 3.64% on the week to 655k b/d.
  • Gasoline production fell by 259k b/d on the week to 9.55m b/d.
  • PADD 1 stocks were up 1.568m bbl, or 2.83% to 56.941m bbl,
  • In PADD 3, the USGC refining hub, stocks were down 2.627m bbl, or 3.07% to 82.99m bbl.
  • On the USWC (PADD 5), stocks were down 373k bbl, or 1.18% to 31.232m bbl.
  • Stocks are below the five-year seasonal average level of 225m bbl.

Historical bullets

MNI: BOC OUTLOOK SURVEY: FUTURE SALES GROWTH BALANCE OF OPINION +6

Jul-21 14:35
  • MNI: BOC OUTLOOK SURVEY: FUTURE SALES GROWTH BALANCE OF OPINION +6
  • BANK OF CANADA BUSINESS OUTLOOK SURVEY OVERALL INDICATOR -2.42
  • BOC: CONSUMERS SEE INFLATION AT 3.82% NOW, 4.04% IN 1 YEAR

BOC SAYS EXPORTERS LESS PESSIMISTIC ABOUT THE HIT FROM TARIFFS

Jul-21 14:30
  • BOC SAYS EXPORTERS LESS PESSIMISTIC ABOUT THE HIT FROM TARIFFS
  • BOC: PERCENTAGE OF FIRMS SEEING +3% CPI OVER 2Y STEADY AT 23%
  • BOC SAYS % OF FIRMS SEEING 2-3% INFLATION UP TO 51% FROM 44%
  • CONSUMER VIEW OF CPI IN 1 YEAR LITTLE CHANGED AT 4%
  • BOC NEW CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX FELL FOR A 2ND QTR ON TARIFFS
  • BOC: TWO-THIRDS OF CONSUMERS, 28% OF FIRMS EXPECT RECESSION

BOC: BOC Business Survey: Worst-Case Scenario Less Likely to Happen

Jul-21 14:30
  • Firm's outlooks less dire in Q2 with BOC polls showing most executives see the worst-case scenarios as less likely to occur given few companies have been directly impacted by tariffs. 
  • Business inflation survey showed 23% of executives expected CPI to be above 3% over the next two years, matching last quarter's levels. Those who expected inflation to be between 2% and 3% rose to Q4 2024 levels at 51% from 44% last quarter.  
  • Recession expectations among businesses declined to 28% in Q2 from 32% last quarter but still above 2024 levels. BOC poll also showed about two-thirds of consumers expect a recession over the next 12 months. 
  • BOC business survey showed average expected wage increase is back to pre-pandemic levels as weak demand adds downward pressure.
  • BOC unveiled new consumer sentiment index, the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations (CSCE) Indicator. The index fell for two straight quarters to -1.07 in Q2 2025 from -0.74 in Q1 and -0.36 in Q4 2024. 
  • Consumer inflation expectations for the coming year were little changed at about 4%. 
  • Surveys were taken before latest U.S. threat to boost tariffs to 35% on Aug. 1.