LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Mar-24 06:23
Date UK Period Event
24-Mar 0700 Feb Retail Sales
24-Mar 0730 ---- DMO to Publish Apr-Jun Gilt Op Calendar
24-Mar 0930 Mar S&P Global Manufacturing/Services PMI (Flash)
24-Mar 1500 ---- BOE Mann Panellist at Global Independence Center
24-Mar 1630 Q2 BOE Announces Q2 Active Gilt Sales Schedule
26-Mar 1800 ---- BOE Bailey Speech at LSE
27-Mar 0945 ---- BOE Treasury Select Committee Hearing on SVB
27-Mar 1100 Mar CBI Distributive Trends
29-Mar 0001 Mar BRC Monthly Shop Price Index
29-Mar 0930 Feb BOE Lending to Individuals / M4
29-Mar 1950 ---- BOE Mann Panellist at NABE
31-Mar 0700 Q4 GDP Second Estimate / Current Account
06-Apr 0930 Mar S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI
11-Apr 0001 Mar BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor
13-Apr 0700 Feb Monthly GDP/Services/IP/Trade/Construction

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Feb-22 06:23
Date UK Period Event
23-Feb 0930 ---- BOE Mann Speech at Resolution Foundation
23-Feb 1100 Feb CBI Distributive Trades
24-Feb 0001 Feb Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
24-Feb 1630 ---- BOE Tenreyro Panellist at NY Fed
27-Feb 0900 ---- BOE Broadbent Opens BEAR Research Conference
28-Feb 1215 ---- BOE Pill Closes BEAR Research Conference
28-Feb 1230 ---- BOE Mann Panellist at EIB Forum
01-Mar 0001 Feb BRC Monthly Shop Price Index
01-Mar 0930 Feb Lending to Individuals / S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Final)
01-Mar 1000 ---- BOE Bailey Speech at Cost of Living Crisis Conference
02-Mar 1500 ---- BOE Pill Speech at Wales Week
03-Mar 0930 Feb S&P Global Services PMI (Final)
06-Mar 0930 Feb S&P Global Construction PMI

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Feb-22 06:18
Date Time Country Event
22-Feb 0700 DE HICP (f)
22-Feb 0745 FR Manufacturing Sentiment
22-Feb 0900 IT HICP (f)

22-Feb 0900 DE IFO Business Climate Index
22-Feb 0900 DE Destatis Press Conference on Updated CPI Weights
22-Feb 1400 BE BNB Business Sentiment
23-Feb 1000 EU HICP (f)
24-Feb ---- EU ECB Lagarde & Panetta at G20 Finance Minister Meet
24-Feb 0700 DE GFK Consumer Climate / GDP (f)
24-Feb 0745 FR Consumer Sentiment
24-Feb 0800 ESPPI
25-Feb ---- EU ECB Lagarde & Panetta at G20 Finance Minister Meet
27-Feb 0900 IT ISTAT Consumer Confidence
27-Feb 1000 EU M3 / EZ Economic Sentiment Indicator

JGBS: Curve Twist Flattens, BoJ Defends Breach Of YCC Band

Feb-22 06:10

Pressure from the spill over stemming from Tuesday’s moves in wider core global FI markets lingered in the belly of the JGB curve, with limited reaction to the BoJ deploying an unscheduled round of Rinban purchases covering 5- to 25-Year paper as it looked to fend off the latest upside breach of its YCC band (which has lingered, although the 0.51% level has not been touched as of yet, with 10-Year JGB yields operating between there and 0.50% for almost all of the session, last printing in that range ahead of the close).

  • Futures edged away from session lows alongside wider core global FI markets, before another modest uptick was seen after the Rinban purchases were announced. The contract is -13 at the bell, while wider cash JGBs were 1bp cheaper to 5bp richer as the curve twist flattened. There wasn’t an overt driver for the super-long end bid, with some pointing towards potential purchases from domestic life insurers (after they sold super-long paper in Jan) and/or BoJ YCC tweak speculation via flatteners.
  • Details of the unscheduled Rinban ops revealed an uptick in cover ratios, although the offers that the operations attracted weren’t larger in nominal terms, with cover impacted by the downsizing of the operations vs. scheduled purchases.
  • BoJ’s Tamura added little fresh to the policy debate.
  • Marginally firmer than expected services PPI data will have added to the pressure in early Tokyo trade.
  • JGBs will be closed on Thursday the country observes a national holiday (this may have triggered some short cover in futures into the close).