US TSYS: Post-May Employment Report React
Jun-06 12:35
- Treasuries extend lower after the latest jobs report shows modestly higher than estimated job gain for May, the unemployment rate and Labor Force Participation Rate at/near expectations.
- Tsy Sep'25 10Y futures currently trades -10.5 at 110-15 vs. 110-12.5 low, technical support at 110-11 (Low Jun 3 and a key near-term support).
- Curves off lows: 2s10s +0.223 at 46.854, 5s30s -0.551 at 87.914
- Cross asset: Stocks gain (SPX eminis 44.0 at 5990.5), Gold higher at 3359.00.
- USD briefly rallies against broader G10 on the higher-than-expected headline, but the net revisions leave a close-to-neutral read for FX markets here: EUR/USD dipped to 1.1387 before swiftly reversing losses.
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BUNDS: German 10yr Yield is nearing 2.50%
May-07 12:28
- Bund is still probing Monday's high of 131.24 (circa 2.5% in Yield), all very gradual, but Volumes have picked up a little, Schatz was bought in 10k, Bobl 5k.
- While extreme moves should still be limited ahead of the Fed, further upside traction opens to 131.71, followed by Friday's gap, up to 131.90 and the big one at 132.03.
- In Yield terms, next support comes at 2.43%, which equates to 132.01, close to that 132.03 level.
US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - Bessent Tees Up Trade Talks With China
May-07 12:18
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- President Donald Trump will receive an intelligence briefing in the morning before meeting Vice President JD Vance for lunch in the afternoon. Asian markets will be watching for a signal on how the White House will approach escalating hostilities between India and Pakistan.
- After upending transatlantic ties at the Munich Security Conference in February, Vance will speak at an event today hosted by the same organisation.
- Markets will be monitoring Trump’s Truth Social account for his response to the Fed's rate decision.
- Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is on Capitol Hill again today to give his 'Annual Testimony' to the House Financial Services Committee. Bessent and USTR Jamieson Greer are aiming to dial down tensions with Beijing at their first official talks with Chinese counterparts this weekend.
- The US trade deficit rose in March as US businesses stockpiled goods.
- Trump struck a conciliatory tone with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney but downplayed the prospect of a trade deal.
- The budget ‘Big Six’ will meet at Treasury today as Republican leaders struggle to get moderates and conservatives on the same page on reconciliation spending cuts.
- Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) is expected to hold a Thursday vote on a landmark crypto bill.
- Trump announced a truce with the Houthis and teased a "very big announcement" ahead of his Middle East trip.
- Poll of the Day: The economy is a “liability” for Trump despite a stabilisation of his approval.
Full Article: US DAILY BRIEF
PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Roundup: Athene Global Funding 2Pt on Tap
May-07 12:16
- Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
- 05/07 $Benchmark Athene Global Funding 3Y +125a, 3Y SOFR
- $24.9B Priced Tuesday led by $5B BoA 3pt. Total issuance for the week at $38.7B
