US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - OMB Threatens Mass Layoffs As Shutdown Looms

Sep-25 12:27

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Executive summary:

  • President Donald Trump will discuss trade, the Middle East, and defence with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan at the White House at 11:00 ET 16:00 BST.
  • Trump will sign Executive Orders at 15:30 ET 20:30 BST. Trump will meet Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif at 16:30 ET 21:30 BST
  • The Trump administration raised the stakes of its shutdown standoff with Democrats ahead of the September 30 deadline for funding the government. Office of Management and Budget director Russell Vought issued a memo threatening mass firings of federal workers if the government shuts down on October 1.
  • European Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic said he is looking to 'jumpstart' discussions with the US on steel tariffs.
  • Congress is probing US companies on their use of H-1B visas, amid warnings from Silicon Valley that Trump's restrictions could boost foreign economies.
  • US Secretary of State Marco Rubio met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov yesterday on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York.   
  • Trump assured Arab and Muslim leaders that the US would not let Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu annex the West Bank. Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff said the Trump administration presented Arab and Muslim leaders with a "21-point-plan" for peace in Gaza.
  • The Trump administration is framing a potential economic support package for Argentina in ideological terms.
  • Poll of the Day: Trump’s second-term strengths look different from his first.

Please find the full article attached below: US DAILY BRIEF

Historical bullets

US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Cabinet Meets After Cook Dismissal

Aug-26 12:24

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  • At 11:00 ET 16:00 BST, President Donald Trump will hold his first Cabinet meeting since July 8. Press questions at the top are likely to focus on Trump’s move to fire Fed governor Lisa Cook.
  • Vice President JD Vance is in Wisconsin, touting the GOP's One Big Beautiful Bill.
  • Trump will “substantially” increase tariffs on countries that don’t remove “discriminatory” digital services taxes.
  • Trump defended his decision to take a 10% stake in Intel, saying, "I hope I'm going to have many more cases like it."
  • The top aide to China’s lead trade negotiator is in Washington for talks with business representatives and counterparts from the USTR and Treasury Department. Trump said on China: "We have tremendous power over them, and they have some power over us.”
  • South Korean President Lee Jae Myung pitched a shipbuilding partnership and pledged more US investment, in his first meeting with Trump.
  • The Trump administration is threatening military deployments to more Democrat-run cities, including Chicago and Baltimore.
  • The DNC’s summer meeting gets underway today.
  • Fifteen red states and three blue states could redraw their 2026 Congressional maps without voter input or constitutional changes.
  • Trump said personal animosity is preventing a bilateral meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
  • Iran is likely to be hit by 'snapback' UN sanctions in mid-October.
  • Poll of the Day: Republicans are less concerned about inflation than Democrats

Full Article: US DAILY BRIEF

EGB SYNDICATION: Austria New 7-Year RAGB: Priced

Aug-26 12:15
  • E3bln WNG (excl. E250mln issuer retention) of the new 7-year Sep-32 RAGB
  • Reoffer 99.948 to yield 2.808%
  • Spread set earlier at MS+30 (guidance was MS+33 area)
  • Books closed in excess of EUR 19bn, including EUR 1.8bn JLM interest
  • Format: Reg S, Bearer, 144A eligible, CAC
  • Settlement: 02 September 2025 (T+5)
  • Maturity: 20 September 2032 (7Y)
  • Coupon: 2.80%, Fixed, Ann., ACT/ACT (Long 1st to 20 September 2026)
  • ISIN: AT0000A3NY15
  • Bookrunners: BofA / DB(DM/B&D) / Erste Group / HSBC / JPM / Raiffeisen Bank International
  • DB=DM/B&D. HR 103% vs DBR 1.7 08/15/32
  • Timing: Priced. TOE 14.03CET FTT  14.20CET/13.20UKT

From market source

STIR: Repo Reference Rates

Aug-26 12:11
  • Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 4.37% (+0.01), volume: $2.825T
  • Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 4.35% (+0.00), volume: $1.153T
  • Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TCR): 4.35% (+0.00), volume: $1.121T
  • (rate, volume levels reflect prior session)