EM LATAM CREDIT: MNI EM Credit: Latin America USD Bond Spread Movements MTD

May-21 17:41

• Low beta sovereign benchmark bond spreads moved about 25-30 bps tighter month to date and investment grade corporate bonds had a similar movement like Brazil’s Suzano 2031s 24 bps tighter and Gruma 2034s 25 bps tighter.

• High yield sovereign bonds were about 50-60 bps tighter while high yield corporate bonds were generally 50-100bps tighter. Some Brazil high yield names like AEGEBZ, MRFGBZ and CSNABZ were 90-100 bps tighter. Bonds of Brazil ethanol processor and fuel distributor Raizen (RAIZBZ) underperformed after disappointing earnings last week.

• Pemex outperformed with 2035 bonds 116bps tighter MTD as some reports came out with the view that the Mexican government would continue to financially support Pemex in the near term.

• Oil sensitive names like Brazil’s high yield rated Brava Energia (RRRPBZ) only tightened 37bps and Colombia’s government controlled Ecopetrol 2036 bonds moved in 45 bps with people still nervous about oil prices given the precipitous decline a few weeks ago.

• Ecuador bonds were the best performer in the sovereign high yield space, tightening 194 bps as market friendly president Noboa picked up support from the legislature that should help pass needed economic and security reforms.

image
image

 

image

 

image

 

image

 

image

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: Tuesday Data Calendar: Fed Speakers, Richmond Fed Data, 2Y Note Sale

Apr-21 16:34
  • US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate)
  • 22-Apr 0830 Philadelphia Fed Non-Mfg Activity (-32.5, --)
  • 22-Apr 0900 Fed Gov Jefferson, Economic Mobility Summit
  • 22-Apr 0930 Philly Fed Harker, Economic Mobility Summit
  • 22-Apr 1000 Richmond Fed Mfg Index (-4, -6)
  • 22-Apr 1000 Richmond Fed Business Conditions (-14, --)
  • 22-Apr 1130 US Tsy $70B 6W bill auction
  • 22-Apr 1300 US Tsy $69B 2Y Note auction (91282CMY4)
  • 22-Apr 1340 MN Fed Kashkari Speaks moderated discussion
  • 22-Apr 1430 Richmond Fed Barkin fireside chat (no text, Q&A)
  • 22-Apr 1800 Fed Gov Kugler on Mon/Pol Transmission (text, Q&A)

US TSY FUTURES: BLCK: Jun'25 5Y Buy

Apr-21 16:01
  • +6,500 FVM5 108-16.25, buy through 108-15.75 post time offer at 1148:59ET, DV01 $267,000. The 5Y contract trades 108-15.75 last (+2.5)

PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: $5B Amex 4Pt Launched

Apr-21 15:57

Amex dropped the 6NC5 SOFR leg:

  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 04/21 $5B #American Express $1.6B 4NC3 +98, $400M 4NC3 SOFR+126, $1.5B 6NC5 +108, $1.5B 11NC10 +128
  • 04/21 $700M Excelerate Energy 5NC2
  • 04/21 $2B QXO Inc. 7NC3 investor calls