Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
Measure Level Δ DoD
5yr UST 3.93% +2bp
10yr UST 4.35% +1bp
5s-10s UST 41.3 -1bp
WTI Crude 66.9 -1.5
Gold 3325 +11.8
Bonds (CBBT) Z-Sprd Δ DoD
ARGENT 3 1/2 07/09/41 900bp +6bp
BRAZIL 6 1/8 03/15/34 249bp -1bp
BRAZIL 7 1/8 05/13/54 348bp -2bp
COLOM 8 11/14/35 392bp -7bp
COLOM 8 3/8 11/07/54 469bp -2bp
ELSALV 7.65 06/15/35 427bp +2bp
MEX 6 7/8 05/13/37 249bp -2bp
MEX 7 3/8 05/13/55 314bp -1bp
CHILE 5.65 01/13/37 143bp -3bp
PANAMA 6.4 02/14/35 290bp -0bp
CSNABZ 5 7/8 04/08/32 579bp +3bp
MRFGBZ 3.95 01/29/31 281bp +1bp
PEMEX 7.69 01/23/50 584bp +0bp
CDEL 6.33 01/13/35 203bp -1bp
SUZANO 3 1/8 01/15/32 173bp +3bp
FX Level Δ DoD
USDBRL 5.54 -0.03
USDCLP 950.42 +0.54
USDMXN 18.6 -0.00
USDCOP 4011.22 +3.09
USDPEN 3.55 -0.00
CDS Level Δ DoD
Mexico 102 (1)
Brazil 147 5
Colombia 216 0
Chile 53 (0)
CDX EM 97.70 0.12
CDX EM IG 101.34 0.07
CDX EM HY 93.95 0.14
Main stories recap:
Comments
Closing Comment
Closing Comment
· A new record high for the SPX was set as Delta Airlines signaled more certainty in the economic environment and reinstated a profit outlook, creating expectations of others to follow.
· The Treasury market absorbed the last leg of the monthly refunding with a solid 30-year auction and yields were little changed across the curve.
· The EM primary market marched on with two CEEMEA sovereign € deals, one for frequent issuer Turkey and one for debut issuer Bosnia and Herzegovina, while in LATAM we had Spain based LATAM electricity generator Enfragen issuing 7NC3 notes at 8.5%.
· Benchmark bond spreads in the EM secondary market were mixed in Asia while in CEEMEA they trended tighter and in LATAM they moved in a narrow, mixed range.
· Once again Brazil’s Braskem outperformed, following yesterday’s news of a potential tax incentives bill for the chemical industry making its way through congress.
· Also supportive for Braskem was today’s announcement of possible Brazil reciprocal tariffs on U.S. imports that could be beneficial as plastics are a major export to the country.
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The trend structure in USDCAD remains bearish and short-term gains are considered corrective. Support at 1.3686, the May 26 low and a bear trigger, has recently been cleared. This confirms a resumption of the downtrend and maintains the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Sights are on 1.3579 next, a Fibonacci projection. Resistance at the 50-day EMA is at 1.3901 - a key level. The 20-day EMA is at 1.3782.