FOREX: JPY Crosses-Look To Regain Momentum Higher, GBP/JPY Rejects 200 Again

Sep-03 01:35

US Equities momentum higher looks to be stalling, only the Google judgement helping overnight to reduce losses. US Futures have opened slightly higher this morning following through with the Goggle news, E-minis +0.15%, NQU5 +0.25%. The JPY crosses are trying to regain their momentum higher after stalling last week.

  • EUR/JPY - Overnight range 172.63 - 173.41, Asia is trading around 173.05. This pair found solid support back towards 171.00 last week and is now trying to bounce. A sustained break above 173.00 is needed to see momentum pick up and the uptrend regain the upper hand, can it break higher before we get the NFP data ?
  • GBP/JPY - Overnight 198.33 - 200.27, Asia trades around 198.95. This pair has again rejected the attempt to break back above 200.00, first support back towards 197.50. 
  • NZD/JPY - Overnight range 86.81 - 87.16, Asia is currently dealing 87.15. The pair continues to probe above 87.00 with very little pullback. The sell zone between 87.00/88.00 remains the preferred area to fade first up.
  • CNH/JPY - Overnight range 20.7130 - 20.8407, Asia is currently trading around 20.8400. This pair has remained above its pivotal 20.30/20.40 support. A decent bounce higher overnight now sees the top end of the range come into focus. A sustained break back above 21.00 is needed to potentially see an extension higher.

Fig 1 : CNH/JPY Daily Chart

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Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg Finance L.P

Historical bullets

CHINA PRESS: PBOC To Balance Growth With Stabilising Risk

Aug-04 01:34

China’s central bank is expected to carefully balance stabilizing growth with mitigating risks, with emphasis on technological innovation and financial stability, alongside the flexible application of policy tools and structural reforms, according to Tian Lihui, professor of finance at Nankai University, following the People’s Bank of China’s 2025 second-half work conference last week. Tian noted that the PBOC will likely deploy measures such as reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and the Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) to ensure ample liquidity, with the primary focus in H2 on revitalising existing funds through optimising credit allocation, curbing idle capital and enhancing capital efficiency.

CHINA PRESS: Politburo Signals Flexibility - Guan Tao

Aug-04 01:34

China’s July Politburo meeting emphasised the need to maintain policy continuity while enhancing flexibility, allowing room for timely reinforcement, according to Guan Tao, former senior official at the State Administration of Foreign Exchange. He noted this approach relies on the proactive monitoring of economic and financial conditions, backed by a robust policy toolkit. The meeting’s call to fully implement a proactive fiscal policy and moderately accommodative monetary stance suggests limited need for near-term stimulus, reflecting stronger-than-expected economic performance in the first half of 2025, rather than signalling market weakness.

CHINA PRESS: HKEX New Listing Rules

Aug-04 01:34

Firms seeking to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) must now allocate at least 40% of their initially planned IPO shares to the book building placement tranche, according to new rules released by the exchange. Additionally, issuers can choose between mechanism A, which raises the maximum public subscription clawback from 20% to 35%, or mechanism B, which allows a fixed public allocation of between 10% and 60%, with no clawback mechanism. Industry insiders said the reforms aim to dismantle barriers and ease restrictions for issuers, improve IPO pricing efficiency and strengthen the global competitiveness of Hong Kong’s IPO market. (Source: Securities Daily)