Goldman Sachs (GS A+/A1/A+) Q4 results
Strong IB revenue drive earnings beat.
- Non-interest income increase sharply to $11.5bn from 10.3bn in Q3 and 10bn in Q4 23.IB & Investment management fees both up 10% vs Q3. Principal transaction income doubles to $1.6bn. Market making had a slightly disappointing quarter, down 7% on Q3.
- Net interest income was $2.3bn, -10% lower than what was reported in Q3, but the Q3 numbers seems to be restated lower in Q4 - one to follow up on.
- Expenses were -3.4% vs Q3 and -9.1% vs Q4 23.
- CET1 improves to 15% - which will be a numerical ratings improvement at S&P, Moody's & Fitch
- Provisions were lower, at $351m than in Q3 or Q4 23. This created a 10bps Cost of risk for the quarter.
- RoTE improves to 13.4% on the earnings beat and opinc/RWA improves to 3.1%
Valuation: Compared to its rating and other US banks in EUR, GS trades reasonably expensive, often 10-20bps below where its rating would imply.
