CANADA DATA: Foreign Investors Piled Into Canadian T-Bills In November
Jan-17 14:11
Foreign holdings of Canadian securities increased a further C$16.4bn in Nov after two strong months of C$21.6bn in Oct and C$29.7bn in Sept.
The press release notes it was led by “an unprecedented investment in money market instruments”.
Indeed, the C$15.3bn of net purchases in T-bills dwarfed the next largest single monthly increase of C$11.8bn from May 2023.
It saw net foreign investment in Canadian government bonds sum to C$108bn in the first eleven months of the year vs the previous recent high of C$81bn at this point in 2020. The federal govt bonds equivalent sums to C$89bn vs a previous high of C$52bn.
Canadian investors meanwhile increased their holdings of foreign securities by C$17.8bn in Nov, the most since Mar 2024.
EUROPEAN INFLATION: Key ECB Underlying Inflation Metric Remained At 2% in Nov
Dec-18 14:10
The ECB’s Persistent and Common Component of Inflation (PCCI) metric, which is regarded by staff as having the highest predictive power of medium-term inflation pressures, remained at 2% in November. The importance of this measure in providing the ECB confidence that inflation is returning to target was highlighted by Chief Economist Lane in today’s webcast with the MNI Policy Team.
President Lagarde also noted on Monday that recent progress in underlying inflation was a contributing factor in the decision to drop the ECB’s pledge to keep policy “sufficiently restrictive” in the December policy statement.
The “core” PCCI metric (i.e. excluding energy and food) softened 10bps in November to 1.85%.
The weighted median measure fully unwound the 30bp uptick seen in October, returning back to 2.4%. Meanwhile, the 10% trimmed mean measure rose 10bps to 2.3% and the 30% metric remained steady at 2.5%.
Supercore- a model based measure which picks out the items that are estimated to co-move with the business cycle – has shown more limited progress in recent months, held at 2.8% for the fourth consecutive month.