* RES 4: 0.7318 2.0% 10-dma envelope * RES 3: 0.7310 1.00 proj of the Mar 30 - May 6 - Jun 30 price ...
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A bull cycle in AUDUSD remains intact for now and Monday’s bullish start to the week reinforces the bull theme. Price has recently breached the 50-day EMA, highlighting scope for a stronger recovery and Monday’s gains delivered a print above 0.7120, the 61.8% of the May 6 - Jun 30 bear leg. A continuation higher would pave the way for an extension towards 0.7181, the 76.4% retracement point. Support at the 50-day EMA lies at 0.7025.
Politico reports: "A deal between the U.S. and Canada to stave off new tariffs on Canadian goods is now on President Donald Trump’s desk, according to three people familiar with the discussions who were granted anonymity because of the sensitivity of the talks. Now it’s up to Trump whether the 50 percent duty goes into effect, as scheduled, at midnight."
EURJPY continues to retrace the sharp sell-off between Jul 29 - Aug 3. For now, gains are considered corrective. However, the cross has traded through the 20- and 50-day EMAs, strengthening the current recovery. This paves the way for a climb towards 185.56, a Fibonacci retracement and the next important S/T resistance. For bears, a reversal would highlight the end of the correction and refocus attention on 179.37, the Aug 3 low and key support.