Japanese markets closed weaker, while China markets rose on the post-holiday re-open: Japan's NIKKEI closed down 191.12 pts or -0.7% at 27248.87 and the TOPIX ended 4.57 pts lower or -0.24% at 1925.99. China's SHANGHAI closed up 68.141 pts or +2.03% at 3429.581 and the HANG SENG ended 6.26 pts higher or +0.03% at 24579.55.
European equities are fairly flat, with the German Dax up 2.21 pts or +0.01% at 15111.04, FTSE 100 up 17.56 pts or +0.23% at 7534.16, CAC 40 up 4.81 pts or +0.07% at 6957.54 and Euro Stoxx 50 down 4.73 pts or -0.12% at 4084.02.
U.S. futures are weaker, with the Dow Jones mini down 127 pts or -0.36% at 34851, S&P 500 mini down 14.25 pts or -0.32% at 4478.25, NASDAQ mini down 45 pts or -0.31% at 14640.5.
STIR FUTURES: Euribor under pressure after Knot comments
Feb-07 09:43
It's a mixed morning for STIR futures.
SONIA and Euribor futures are both seeing little movement in Whites (if anything less priced in at the very front-end) but downward pressure focused around the Reds. The biggest mover is the Mar-23 Euribor future, following comments from Knot over the weekend that we could see a first 25bp rate rise in Q4-22 and a second in Q1-23. Indeed, markets are now pricing an even faster pace than this with 50bp of rate hikes fully priced by end-2022. This would bring the deposit rate to 0%. SONIA futures pricing has consolidated the five further 25bp hikes fully priced in for 2022 (Bank Rate to 1.75%) with 4 hikes fully priced by August.
The Eurodollar strip, however, has moved a bit higher, off the lows seen after the European close on Friday. For comparison with the Euribor strip, both are trading around the same levels that were seen at 15:30GMT on Friday.
BOBL: Highest yield since 2018
Feb-07 09:43
German 5yr Bobl yield is now at highest level since 09th March 2018.
In pure technical, next support for the future is seen at 130.260 Low Oct 5, 2018 (cont).
Next big upside target in Yield is situated at the 2018 high 0.153%. Further upside momentum would open to the 2015 high at 0.271%.