AUD: A$ Stabilises After Yesterday’s Poor Performance, ECB Decision Later

Jan-30 01:43

After underperforming the G10 on Wednesday, Aussie is higher against most major currencies but not the yen. AUDUSD is up 0.1% to 0.6240 after reaching 0.6244. Expectations of a February RBA rate cut are growing. The USD index is down 0.2% after the Fed left rates on hold but Chair Powell downplayed the change in language.

  • AUDJPY is down 0.3% to 96.45, close to the intraday low of 96.34, after reaching a high of 96.84 early in the session. There is some attention on BoJ balance sheet contraction.
  • AUDNZD is moderately higher at 1.1020. AUDEUR is up 0.1% to 0.5986 and AUDGBP +0.1% to 0.5011.
  • Many equity markets in the region remain closed. The ASX is up 0.5% but the Topix is down 0.2%. The S&P e-mini is up 0.3%. Oil prices are higher with WTI +0.2% to $72.77/bbl. Copper is off its intraday high to be up only 0.1%. Iron ore is above $105/t.
  • Later US Q4 GDP, jobless claims, euro area Q4 GDP, December unemployment rate, European Commission January survey and January Spanish CPI print. The ECB is forecast to cut rates 25bp. 

Historical bullets

MNI: CHINA DEC MANUFACTURING PMI 50.1 VS 50.3 IN NOV

Dec-31 01:31
  • CHINA DEC MANUFACTURING PMI 50.1 VS 50.3 IN NOV

MNI: CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY157.7 BLN VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPOS TUES

Dec-31 01:21
  • CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY157.7 BLN VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPOS TUES

CNY: Yuan Fix Marginally Lower, Survey Expected It To Rise

Dec-31 01:20
  • CNY reference rate was fixed at 7.1884, slightly lower than Monday’s 7.1899. The error with the estimate was up to 0.1194 from 0.1068.
  • USDCNH is trending lower and is currently at 7.3106 after a high of 7.3156 early in the day.
  • China’s yuan fixing was estimated at 7.3078, according to Bloomberg, with the range 7.3027 to 7.3130.