- The Business Outlook Survey for Q3 shows firms’ inflation expectation ease from elevated levels: 1Y ahead down from 4.95 to 4.69%, 2Y ahead from 3.13 to 2.88%, 5Y ahead from 2.54 to 2.42%.
- Inflation: Firms expecting inflation above 3% over next two years: 77% from Q2 high of 78%
- Bottlenecks: No further improvement for supply chain (holding at 43% vs Q1 high of 43.6), minimal improvement in labour (62 from Q2 high 63%)
- Wages: Larger move here as average expected wage increase over next year falls back after sharp increase prior quarter, falling from 5.8 to 4.9% Y/Y.
Source: Bank of Canada