European curves flattened Tuesday, with Gilts underperforming yet again ahead of UK CPI data.
- With no evident catalysts today amid a thin data/speaker slate, Monday's weakness in Gilts on the back of lingering fiscal concerns spilled over into today's session. 10Y Gilt yields hit a fresh post-May high (4.756%) in early trade.
- Bund yields traded almost entirely within the prior session's ranges, with the 2.80% level holding for the 10Y. Longer-end German instruments led the space overall in a broader rally over the most of the remainder of the session, with Buxl rallying after yields hit a fresh post-2011 high.
- Yields fell to session lows a little over an hour before the cash close, as equities tumbled (led by US megacap tech), resulting in a modest safe-haven bid that also saw periphery EGB spreads move a little wider.
- The German curve bull flattened on the day, with the UK's twist flattening. Periphery/semi-core EGB spreads closed mixed, with BTPs underperforming.
- Attention Wednesday will be on the UK CPI report. MNI's preview is here: the BOE MPC is focused on headline CPI which is expected to come in higher than in June.
- We also get an appearance by ECB's Lagarde and the Swedish Riksbank decision, as well as final Eurozone July inflation.
Closing Yields / 10-Yr EGB Spreads To Germany
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 0.1bps at 1.958%, 5-Yr is down 1.3bps at 2.306%, 10-Yr is down 1.3bps at 2.75%, and 30-Yr is down 1.5bps at 3.323%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 1.5bps at 3.98%, 5-Yr is up 1.5bps at 4.138%, 10-Yr is up 0.2bps at 4.74%, and 30-Yr is down 0.9bps at 5.602%.
- Italian BTP spread up 1.2bps at 80.5bps / French OAT down 0.1bps at 68.3bps