UKRAINE: Trump Softens Tone Ahead Of Zelenskyy Meeting

Feb-28 10:10

US President Donald Trump softened his tone towards Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskky ahead of a bilateral meeting at the White House today, where the pair are expected to sign a deal to share in Ukraine's mineral resources. 

  • Trump rolled back his characterisation of Zelenskyy as a 'dictator' and later, speaking alongside UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, said: "I think I have a very good relationship with President Zelenskyy..." adding Ukrainians had “fought very bravely
  • Starmer's visit was amicable but failed to deliver the core objective of securing a US military backstop to a future European peacekeeping operation in Ukraine, viewed by European leaders as the only credible way to deter future Russian aggression.
  • Trump and Zelenskyy have offered differing assessments of the mineral deal, with Zelenskyy describing it as a 'preliminary agreement' rather Trump's done deal.
  • There are ongoing questions about the commercial viability of Ukraine's resources and the utility to US firms (outlined here and here) but both Zelenskyy and Trump may be inclined to overstate the value of a deal for domestic consumption. Trump is eyeing a financial deal he can sell to his base to fulfil a pledge to recoup lost funds and Zelenskyy wants a commitment from Trump to maintain military support or keep a long-term pathway to NATO membership open.
  • Zelenskyy arrives at the White House at 11:00 ET 16:00 GMT for two bilateral sessions with Trump. The two leaders will hold a joint press conference at 13:00 ET 18:00 GMT 

Historical bullets

US: District Judge Blocks Trump's Federal Spending Freeze

Jan-29 10:09

A US District Judge blocked a Trump administration freeze on federal spending, ordered by the White House Office of Management and Budget, minutes before it was set to go into effect yesterday. The block will expire Feb 3 at 17:00 ET 22:00 GMT.

  • The order, which covers all government spending except direct payments to individuals, such as Social Security, and Medicare, is widely seen as the most far-reaching of Trump’s executive actions and part of a broader attempt to recalibrate potentially trillions of dollars of federal government spending. The coming week will test to what extent Trump can realise the bulk of his agenda via executive action.
  • White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters, “[if government agencies] feel that programs are necessary and in line with the president's agenda, then [OMB] will review those policies.”
  • In response, Senate Democrats accused the Trump administration of “wanting to seize control of everything,” (Senator Tammy Duckworth (D-IL) and to “cut, cut, cut, cut – to give one thing: tax breaks to the very wealthy,” (Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY).
  • The Democrat counteroffensive is likely to include a concerted effort to hold up Trump’s Cabinet nominees, particularly OMB Director Russell Vought – a central figure in ‘Project 2025' – who Democrats allege is seeking to coopt spending authority from Congress.
  • Democrat action may also include delaying Trump nominees who may have otherwise received swift confirmation, like Commerce Secretary nominee, Howard Lutnick, who has his Senate Commerce Committee nomination hearing today. 

EURIBOR OPTIONS: EURIBOR FIX - 29/01/

Jan-29 10:08

EURIBOR FIX - EMMI/Bloomberg

  • 1W 2.85600 -2.6
  • 1M 2.72500 -1.9
  • 3M 2.61200 -0.3
  • 6M 2.59800 0.7
  • 12M 2.53500 0.1

GILT AUCTION RESULTS: Minor moves from another disappointing 8-year green auctio

Jan-29 10:07
  • As seen in recent auctions of the 0.875% Jul-33 Green Gilt, the lowest accepted price (LAP) is below the pre-auction mid-price.
  • The price of the gilt fell to the LAP of 74.744 following the auction result but has moved but up to the average price of 74.873 at the time of writing.
  • Similar move lower and then above the pre-auction price seen in gilt futures (but it's only been a 9 tick range post-bidding window so minor moves).

Related by topic

Ukraine
Energy Data
US Natgas
TTF ICE
Asia LNG
Gas Positioning
Gasoil
Marine Oil
Oil Positioning
OPEC
Freight
Jet Fuel
Gasoline
Fuel Oil
Diesel
Oil Options