EU AUTOMOTIVE: Renault: 1H25 Preliminary Results

Jul-16 06:46

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(RENAUL; Ba1pos/BB+pos/NR) {RNO FP Equity} Surprising development following a pre-close call less t...

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USD: Rate decisions are in Focus this Week

Jun-16 06:39
  • Some Overnight Desks may have pointed out to some USD strength Overnight following the War in the Middles East, but we are not seeing that into the European session.
  • The Dollar was printing some earlier lows against some Asian, EM Currencies, ZAR, ILS, TWD, CNY printed new intraday highs, but all in small.
  • In G10s, the Dollar is mostly closer to flat, the SEK is down 0.23%, and on the Opposite side the AUD and NZD are the tiny ~0.10% best performers.
  • Looking at the past Month, the Greenback is in deep red territory still with the Tariff Risks the main Global concern going forward.
  • The closest Technical in G10 is in the USDCAD, with the Next support coming  at 1.3575 Low Jun 13.

WTI TECHS: (N5) Impulsive Bull Wave

Jun-16 06:31
  • RES 4: $84.23 - 3.000 proj of the Apr 9 - 23 - May 5 price swing
  • RES 3: $81.93 - 2.764 proj of the Apr 9 - 23 - May 5 price swing 
  • RES 2: $80.00 - Psychological round number
  • RES 1: $77.62 - High Jun 13 
  • PRICE: $73.52 @ 07:20 BST Jun 16 
  • SUP 1: $68.49 - Low Jun 13
  • SUP 2: $63.62 - 50-day EMA
  • SUP 3: $59.74 - Low May 30 
  • SUP 4: $54.33 - Low Apr 9 and a key support  

WTI futures traded sharply higher last week and Friday’s early rally marked an acceleration of the current bull phase. Price action is likely to remain volatile and from a technical standpoint, the trend is currently in an extreme overbought position. A continuation higher would expose the $80.00 handle. A firm support is noted $68.49, the Jun 13 low. A breach of this level would signal scope for a deeper retracement.

BUNDS: Bonds are still trading on the heavier side

Jun-16 06:27
  • Bund and Treasuries continue to trade on the heavy side, a little surprising given the escalation in Wars, although some may look at Inflation risks.
  • Nonetheless, for now both contracts (RXU5 and TYU5) are trading flat going into the European session, and TYU5 is still just short of 110.14+, Friday's low.
  • For the German Bund, support is still seen at 130.52, printed a 130.53 low last Week, and small resistance moves back down to the 131.00 figure.
  • Italian Final CPI is the only release for Today, UK and Japan CPIs are the main release this Week, but CBs rate decision are at the forefront this Week.
  • Global Investors will also be rolling their Equity Position into September, ahead of Triple Witching Friday.
  • SPEAKERS: ECB Nagel (x2) Cipollone.