OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Monitoring Resistance In Bunds

Oct-02 11:26

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* In the FI space, Bund futures continue to trade above their recent lows. Recent gains appear cor...

Historical bullets

US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: Dec'25 10Y Buy

Sep-02 11:25
  • +5,200 TYZ5 112-04, buy through 112-03.5 post time offer at 0659:37ET, DV01 $340,000.
  • The 10Y contract trades 112-04 last (-12).

CROSS ASSET: FTSE, Gilt and the Pound trade in Tandem

Sep-02 11:25
  • The FTSE, Gilt and the Pound are still moving together, seeing another round of selling interest but nothing fast.
  • Fiscal, Financing, Politic Risk, and Concerns on higher borrowing costs, have push Bond traders to demand higher Yields, and has clearly been the driver.
  • Gilt still eye the 4.80% level ( initially, and a break through would open to 89.68 Low Jan 15 (cont) next.

(Chart source: MNI/Bloomberg Finance LP).

Z U5 Index (FTSE 100 IDX FUT  Se 2025-09-02 12-19-39

GILT SYNDICATION: 4.75% Oct-35 gilt: Priced

Sep-02 11:22
  • Reoffer: 98.972 to yield 4.8786%
  • Spread set earlier at 4.50% Mar-35 Gilt +8.25bp (guidance was +8.25/+8.75bps)
  • Size: GBP14bln  (MNI expected GBP8-12bln with risks skewed to the higher end given the large book size)
  • Books closed in excess of GBP141bln (inc JLM interest of GBP12bln - second largest ever for a gilt)
  • Hedge ratio: 100% vs 4.50% Mar-35 gilt (GB00BT7J0027)
  • Maturity: 22 October 2035
  • Expected Settlement:  3 September 2025 (T+1)
  • Coupon: 4.750% SA, ACT/ACT, long 1st to 22 April 2026
  • Benchmark:  4.50% Mar-35 Gilt (ISIN: GB00BT7J0027)
  • ISIN: GB00BTXS1K06
  • Bookrunners: HSBC / J.P. Morgan (DM/B&D) / Lloyds / Morgan Stanley / NatWest / UBS

From market source and MNI colour