LOOK AHEAD: Wednesday Data Calendar: Exist Home Sales, Fed Speak, 20Y R/O Sale
Oct-22 17:51
US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate)
Oct-23 0700 MBA Mortgage Applications (-17.0%, --)
Oct-23 0900 Philly Fed Bowman opening remarks
Oct-23 1000 Existing Home Sales (3.86M, 3.89M)
Oct-23 1000 Existing Home Sales MoM (-2.5%, 0.7%)
Oct-23 1130 US Tsy $64B 17W bill auction
Oct-23 1200 Richmond Fed Barkin community college conf
Oct-23 1300 US Tsy $13B 20Y Bond auction re-open
Oct-23 1400 Federal Reserve Beige Book
ECB: Villeroy Comments on Flexibility on Rates to Not Fall Behind Curve
Oct-22 17:50
The European Central Bank must be agile with further interest-rate cuts to avoid the risk of acting too slowly, according to Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau.
Mjaor headlines from ECB’s Villeroy in his speech in NY include:
“There is a risk that inflation undershoots 2% target, especially if growth weak”
“Inflation could be at target in early 2025”
“There is significant downside risk to inflation and growth”
“ECB not behind the curve but risk of cutting rates too late bigger than cutting early”
“No reason for rates to stay restrictive in 2025” (Reuters)
“Too early to say where ECB terminal rate may be”
“QE tool to affect stance, transmission, not liquidity” (BBG)
US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: Dec'24 2Y Buy
Oct-22 17:44
+5,000 TUZ4 103-08, post time offer at 1334:56ET, DV01 $194,000. The 2Y contract trades 103-08.38 last (-.62), helping curves bounce off flatter levels: 2s10s +.562 at 16.739 last vs. 14.197 low.