U.S. 10yr Treasury yields are 2bp lower at 4.5% following on from better than expected US payroll numbers on Friday and weekend news focused on US protests. Trade talks today in London between the U.S and China are giving Asia markets a bit of optimism. Asia Equity was firm, Korea's KOSPI index +1.6% and the Hang Seng +1.4%.
In LATAM, credit spreads tightened significantly on Friday, with Columbia underperforming. Asia EM credit today is mostly softer at the close with govie/agency $ spreads up to +10bp wider. The underperformer being the Philippines, the $ 3/35 bond +10bp on the day. Trade talks are hoped to alleviate the pressure, with China earlier today reporting that exports to the U.S were down -34% YoY in the month of May.
In terms of news flow, it was all about real estate, Link REIT played down reports on Friday of an IPO of some non-HK, China assets. Sunac China extended the deadline for consent of its restructuring plan to June 20th, and Vanke announced more funding from Shenzhen Metro (up to RMB3bn). Finally, we had monthly sales data for May from China Overseas Land (+21% YoY) and Yuexiu Property (-5% YoY). No new issues today, however we have a mandate for a $ 30NC5 Tier 2 from Hanwha Life Insurance.
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USDCAD has recovered from its recent lows. Despite the recovery, the trend condition remains bearish and short-term gains are considered corrective. A fresh cycle low on Tuesday reinforces the bearish theme. Potential is seen for a move towards 1.3744, a Fibonacci retracement. Note that moving average studies are in a bear mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend. Key resistance is seen at 1.4041, the 50-day EMA.