FED: US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 3.760%(ALLOT 56.68%)
Aug-05 15:32
US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 3.760%(ALLOT 56.68%)
US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 38.62% OF COMPETITIVES
US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 4.81% OF COMPETITIVES
US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 56.57% OF COMPETITIVES
US TSY 52W AUCTION: BID/CVR 2.85
FED: US TSY 52W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $1.116 BLN FROM $50.000 BLN TOTAL
Aug-05 15:15
US TSY 52W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $1.116 BLN FROM $50.000 BLN TOTAL
SWEDEN: Weak July Services PMI Keeps An August Rate Cut Possible
Aug-05 15:12
This morning’s services PMI was weak, falling 5.5 points to 48.8 – the largest one month drop since April 2020. While less closely followed than the Economic Tendency Indicator, the PMI has still contributed to a 1.6bp fall in 2-year SEK swap rates today.
Thursday’s flash July CPI report will be key in determining the likelihood of a Riksbank August rate cut. Markets currently price just a 20% implied probability of such a move, but we have noted for several weeks that a cut cannot be ruled out before seeing the inflation data, particularly with activity signals still weak.
Although new orders (51.5 vs 59.5 prior) and production (50.1 vs 57.3 prior) PMI components remained in expansionary territory in July, the falls relative to June were sharp.
More alarmingly, the employment component fell to a 5-year low of 37.8 (vs 36.7 prior). The downward trend is more volatile than, but still broadly consistent with, the signal from the Economic Tendency Indicator’s services employment series.