US STOCKS: Midday Equities Roundup: Cautious Support Ahead Aug NFP

Sep-04 15:36
  • Stocks are making modest gains Thursday morning, indexes drifting near early session highs - led by Consumer Discretionary and Financial sector shares. Currently, the DJIA trades up 193.87 points (0.43%) at 45458.33, S&P E-Minis up 26.25 points (0.41%) at 6483.75, Nasdaq up 69 points (0.3%) at 21567.39.
  • Generally cautious trade as participants still digesting this morning's lower than expected ADP private jobs gain (+54k vs. +68k est) while setting sights on Friday's employment data for August (+75k est vs. +73k prior).
  • Distribution and retail shares buoyed the Discretionary sector: Williams-Sonoma +3.49%, Genuine Parts +3.48%, Amazon.com +2.81%, eBay +2.37% and PulteGroup Inc +2.36%.
  • T Rowe Price Group +5.57%, Raymond James Financial +1.64%, KKR & Co +1.45% and Citigroup +1.27%.
  • A mix of Materials, Utilities and IT sector shares underperformed - anchoring index pricing in the first half. Leading decliners include: NiSource -7.85%, Salesforce -5.88%, Centene Corp -4.69%, Texas Instruments -4.53%, Molina Healthcare -4.32% and Elevance Health -3.79%

Historical bullets

FED: US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 3.760%(ALLOT 56.68%)

Aug-05 15:32
  • US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 3.760%(ALLOT 56.68%)
  • US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 38.62% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 4.81% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 56.57% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 52W AUCTION: BID/CVR 2.85

FED: US TSY 52W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $1.116 BLN FROM $50.000 BLN TOTAL

Aug-05 15:15
  • US TSY 52W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $1.116 BLN FROM $50.000 BLN TOTAL

SWEDEN: Weak July Services PMI Keeps An August Rate Cut Possible

Aug-05 15:12

This morning’s services PMI was weak, falling 5.5 points to 48.8 – the largest one month drop since April 2020. While less closely followed than the Economic Tendency Indicator, the PMI has still contributed to a 1.6bp fall in 2-year SEK swap rates today. 

  • Thursday’s flash July CPI report will be key in determining the likelihood of a Riksbank August rate cut. Markets currently price just a 20% implied probability of such a move, but we have noted for several weeks that a cut cannot be ruled out before seeing the inflation data, particularly with activity signals still weak.
  • Although new orders (51.5 vs 59.5 prior) and production (50.1 vs 57.3 prior) PMI components remained in expansionary territory in July, the falls relative to June were sharp.
  • More alarmingly, the employment component fell to a 5-year low of 37.8 (vs 36.7 prior). The downward trend is more volatile than, but still broadly consistent with, the signal from the Economic Tendency Indicator’s services employment series. 
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