US STOCKS: Midday Equities Roundup: Cautious Support Ahead Aug NFP

Sep-04 15:36

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* Stocks are making modest gains Thursday morning, indexes drifting near early session highs - led...

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FED: US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 3.760%(ALLOT 56.68%)

Aug-05 15:32
  • US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 3.760%(ALLOT 56.68%)
  • US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 38.62% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 4.81% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 52W BILL AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 56.57% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 52W AUCTION: BID/CVR 2.85

FED: US TSY 52W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $1.116 BLN FROM $50.000 BLN TOTAL

Aug-05 15:15
  • US TSY 52W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $1.116 BLN FROM $50.000 BLN TOTAL

SWEDEN: Weak July Services PMI Keeps An August Rate Cut Possible

Aug-05 15:12

This morning’s services PMI was weak, falling 5.5 points to 48.8 – the largest one month drop since April 2020. While less closely followed than the Economic Tendency Indicator, the PMI has still contributed to a 1.6bp fall in 2-year SEK swap rates today. 

  • Thursday’s flash July CPI report will be key in determining the likelihood of a Riksbank August rate cut. Markets currently price just a 20% implied probability of such a move, but we have noted for several weeks that a cut cannot be ruled out before seeing the inflation data, particularly with activity signals still weak.
  • Although new orders (51.5 vs 59.5 prior) and production (50.1 vs 57.3 prior) PMI components remained in expansionary territory in July, the falls relative to June were sharp.
  • More alarmingly, the employment component fell to a 5-year low of 37.8 (vs 36.7 prior). The downward trend is more volatile than, but still broadly consistent with, the signal from the Economic Tendency Indicator’s services employment series. 
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