USDCAD TECHS: Maintains A Firmer Tone
* RES 4: 1.4126 76.4% retracement of the Jun 24 - Aug 21 bear leg * RES 3: 1.4080 High Aug 4 and 5 *...
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OPTIONS: US Options Roundup - Aug 18 2026
Tuesday's US rates/bond options flow included:
- SFRU6 96.12/96.00ps, traded 2 in 1k
- SFRU6 96.31/96.37/96.43c fly, traded 0.5 in 2.5k
- SFRU6 96.25/96.37/96.50c fly, traded 2 in 1k
- SFRV6 96.3125/96.4375 call spread bought for 0.75 in 10k (block)
- SFRX6/Z6 96.31/96.37cs spread, traded 0.25 in 2k
- SFRZ6 96.25c, traded 6.25 in 4k
- SFRZ6 96.00/95.625 put spread bought for 9.75 in 6k (block)
- SFRZ6 95.9375/95.8125/95.75/95.50 broken put condor bought for 1.25 in 4k (block)
- SFRZ6 95.62p, sold at 3.25 in 10k (sold in 15k total in the Pit and on Screen)
- SFRM7 96.00/96.25cs 1x2 with 95.87/95.62ps 1x2 strip, traded 19.25 for the 2 in 1.5k.
- 0QX6/Z6 95.75/96.00/96.25c fly strip, trades 11 in 1k, 7.5k total (pit/screen).
- 0QZ6 96.00/95.50/95.00p fly, traded 11.75 and 12 synth in 6k
- 0QZ6/3QZ6 96.50 cs, bought the 1yr for 2.75 in 2k.
- 0QH7 96.00/96.37/96.75c fly with 96.12/96.37/96.62c fly strip, bought for 10 in 5k
- TUU6 102.875/103.00/103.125 call tree vs 103-02.375 6% sold at 5 in 6k (block)
FED: MNI FOMC Minutes Preview – July 2026 Meeting
Our preview of the July FOMC meeting minutes (out Wednesday at 2pm ET) includes what to watch for upon release; MNI's updated FOMC Hawk-Dove Spectrum; analyst views; and key highlights of FOMC participant commentary since the meeting.
AUDUSD TECHS: Bullish Phase
- RES 4: 0.7278 High May 6 and key resistance
- RES 3: 0.7201 High May 29
- RES 2: 0.7181 76.4% retracement of the May 6 - Jun 30 bear leg
- RES 1: 0.7129/49 High Aug 17 / High Jun 4
- PRICE: 0.7095 @ 16:31 BST Aug 18
- SUP 1: 0.7025/0.6922 50-day EMA / Low Jul 29
- SUP 2: 0.6907 Low Jul 8
- SUP 3: 0.6865 Low Jun 30 and the bear trigger
- SUP 4: 0.6757 38.2% retracement of the Apr 9 ‘25 - May 6 bull cyle
A bull cycle in AUDUSD remains intact for now and Monday’s bullish start to the week reinforces the bull theme. Price has recently breached the 50-day EMA, highlighting scope for a stronger recovery and Monday’s gains delivered a print above 0.7120, the 61.8% of the May 6 - Jun 30 bear leg. A continuation higher would pave the way for an extension towards 0.7181, the 76.4% retracement point. Support at the 50-day EMA lies at 0.7025.
