AUD: Extending losses

Feb-17 11:09
  • EURAUD breaks back above 1.56000, highest since the 6th Feb.
  • Most will look at 1.56632, the February high for initial resistance.
  • AUDUSD extends further south, still trading at its lowest level since the 6th Jan.
  • Next psychological support comes at 0.6800, followed by 0.6781 38.2% retracement of the Oct 13 - Feb 2 uptrend.

Historical bullets

PORTUGAL T-BILL AUCTION RESULT: 6/12-month BTs

Jan-18 10:51
Type 6-month BT 12-month BT
Maturity Jul 21, 2023 Jan 19, 2024
Amount E750mln E500mln
Target E1.25-1.50bln Shared
Previous E440mln E750mln
Avg yield 2.417% 2.725%
Previous 1.291% 2.104%
Bid-to-cover 2.14x 3.82x
Previous 2.92x 1.74x
Previous date Sep 21, 2022 Oct 19, 2022

GERMAN AUCTION RESULTS: 30y Bunds

Jan-18 10:46
  • Given that this is the first dual-line 30y Bund auction those results look decent enough.
  • For the 1.80% Aug-53 Bund there was a bigger tail than at the November auction and the bid-to-cover / bid-to-offer were both down - but remember that the November auction was a strong auction.
  • Also, despite the tail the LAP was still above the prevailing mid-price so we have seen the price move higher after the auction.
  • These results for the 1.80% Aug-53 Bund are not strong but they're not hugely disappointing either given the dual-line aspect of the auction and the LAP being in excess of the mid-price.
  • For the 0% Aug-50 Bund the results were much more solid - the average price matched the LAP so there was no tail.
  • If the 0% Aug-50 Bund was auctioned on its own it would look relatively strong. The 1.80% Aug-53 Bund auction was decent.
  • So all in all for the first dual-line 30y auction, Finanzagentur should be satisfied with how today's auction has gone.

GERMAN AUCTION RESULTS: 30y Bunds

Jan-18 10:37
0% Aug-50 Bund 1.80% Aug-53 Bund
ISIN DE0001102481 DE0001102614
Allotted E805mln E1.206bln
Previous E1.266bln E908mln
Avg yield 1.97% 2.05%
Previous 0.39% 1.94%
Bid-to-offer 1.36x 1.22x
Previous 0.97x 1.66x
Bid-to-cover 1.69x 1.52x
Previous 1.15x 1.83x
Avg price 58.42 94.36
Low price 58.42 94.26
Pre-auction mid 58.200 94.165
Prev avg price 89.43 96.75
Prev low price 89.41 96.71
Prev mid-price 89.416 96.783
Previous date 09-Feb-22 23-Nov-22
Total sold E1bln E1.5bln