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BONDS: EGB/Gilt - Watch the Gilt/Bund spread
Aug-24 14:22
- EGBs and Bund remains under pressure once again today.
- Rate traders continue to price more aggressive hikes from the ECB, which has helped longer dated bonds lower.
- Desks have also favoured positioning for a Hawk Powell this Friday. Bund has so far found some support at 150.00, but better is seen at 149.87, which equates to 1.4% in 10yr Yield.
- Peripherals are mostly wider, but in small at the time of typing.
- Italy leads by just 1.7bp, and Greece is flat against the German 10yr.
- Watch the Gilt/Bund spread, cleared out the small resistance that was 128.9bps earlier, and now eye 133.16bps, the March and 2022 high, and also the widest print since 28th April 2016.
- Spread is at 131.2bps (6.1bps wider).
- Volumes in Gilt are dominated by spreads, first notice is on the 30th, but UK have a Monday Bank holiday, and investors will likely favour doing the majority by the weekend.
- Half the front month volume is spread related, roll pace stands at 30%
- Looking ahead, tomorrow sees German final GDP, US (2nd) GDP, and Core PCE.
MNI: US NAR JUL PENDING HOME SALES INDEX 89.8 V 90.7 IN JUN
Aug-24 14:00
- MNI: US NAR JUL PENDING HOME SALES INDEX 89.8 V 90.7 IN JUN
- US NAR JUL PENDING HOME SALES -1.0% MOM; -19.9% YOY
US TSY OPTIONS: BLOCK, Weekly Midcurve Put Spd
Aug-24 13:59
- 9,000 wk3 TY 114.5/115.5 put spds, 11 at 0949:02ET ref 117-13