ASIA STOCKS: China & Hong Kong Equities Giving Back Earlier Gains

Jan-23 02:18

Chinese and Hong Kong markets opened higher today, driven by optimism over new measures to stabilize the stock market, however those gains are quickly being erased now with the CSI 300 Index up 0.90% now after earlier being up 1.50%, while China Enterprise Index up just 0.35% after earlier being up 1.6%. The gains come after Beijing announced initiatives such as boosting pension fund investments in listed companies and requiring mutual funds to increase onshore stock holdings by 10% annually for three years.

  • China’s securities regulator announced a plan to guide more insurance funds into equities and expand the scale of equity funds to boost the stock market. The initiative aims to attract medium- and long-term capital by encouraging large state-owned insurers to increase A-share investments and raising the equity proportion in the National Social Security Fund and corporate annuities. Regulators will also enhance the investment ecosystem by promoting share buybacks and allowing multiple dividend distributions annually.
  • China's property de-stocking initiative has gained traction, with December 2024 seeing slight price recoveries in first- and second-tier cities due to favorable policies, active second-hand home markets, and strong land auction results. Analysts emphasize balancing inventory reduction with optimizing new supply, such as repurposing old properties, to ensure market stability. Property benchmarks are under-performing today with Mainland Property Index -0.30%, HS Property Index -0.50%, while the BBG China Property Gauge is +0.10%
  • Despite this optimism, concerns persist over China's sluggish economic recovery, the ongoing property slump, and potential tariffs from the U.S. Investors are closely monitoring consumption-related stocks ahead of the Lunar New Year holidays, with hopes that increased spending will support sectors like airlines, hospitality, and entertainment.

Historical bullets

FOREX: USD Modestly Higher, Yen Pares Losses Post FinMin Warning

Dec-24 01:35

Early G10 FX trends are skewed towards the USD, albeit with modest moves overall. AUD and NZD are seeing some slight underperformance (which followed some outperformance on Monday). Rhetoric around FX moves has crossed from the Japan FinMin as well. 

  • The reaction so far from USD/JPY has been limited. We were last 157.15/20, close to unchanged for the session. Earlier highs were at 157.39.
  • Japan FinMin Kato reiterated recent concerns on FX - "JAPAN FINMIN KATO: CONCERNED ABOUT RECENT FX MOVES, RTRS" "JAPAN FINMIN KATO: RECENTLY SEEING ONE-SIDED, SHARP FX MOVES" and that the authorities will take action against excessive moves.
  • USD/JPY is still sub post BoJ highs (157.93), with these comments highlighting intervention risks as we approach the holiday period. Earlier the BoJ minutes from the Oct policy meeting came and went with little market reaction.
  • AUD/USD sits down around 0.20%, last near 0.6235/40. Downside focus will rest on the 0.6199 low seen recently. The RBA minutes from the Dec meeting were out earlier. Upside risks to inflation have diminished but it was still too soon to be confident that inflation is sustainably at target.
  • NZD/USD is also lower, last near 0.5635/40. Also, still up from recent cycle lows.
  • Trends are biased in favour of the USD elsewhere, but aggregate moves are modest. In the cross asset space, US equity futures are down a touch, along with US yields, but again overall moves are modest.
  • There is little in the way of further risk events for the remainder of today's Asia Pac session. 
     

CHINA: Central Bank Drains Liquidity via OMO. 

Dec-24 01:27
  • PBOC issues CNY64.1bn of 7-day reverse repo.
  • Today’s maturities CNY355.4bn
  • Net Liquidity withdrawal CNY291.3bn.
  • The PBOC controls liquidity in the interbank market through the daily issuance of reverse repo. 
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MNI: CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY64.1 BLN VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPOS TUES

Dec-24 01:24
  • CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY64.1 BLN VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPOS TUES