RATINGS: Belgian, Greek & Portuguese Updates Set To Headline After Close
Potential sovereign rating reviews of note scheduled for after hours on Friday include: * Fitch on ...
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SOFR: Mix Of Net Long Setting & Short Cover Dominates In Futures On Tuesday
OI data points to a mix of net long setting and short cover across most SOFR futures on Tuesday, with net short cover in the red pack providing the most prominent swing.
- Global trade tensions and wider global inputs drove the rally seen across much of the strip.
| 14-Oct-25 | 13-Oct-25 | Daily OI Change |
| Daily OI Change In Packs |
SFRU5 | 1,429,303 | 1,429,965 | -662 | Whites | +16,325 |
SFRZ5 | 1,552,747 | 1,505,430 | +47,317 | Reds | -41,578 |
SFRH6 | 1,162,616 | 1,196,091 | -33,475 | Greens | +15,142 |
SFRM6 | 1,031,521 | 1,028,376 | +3,145 | Blues | +2,734 |
SFRU6 | 1,010,678 | 1,037,469 | -26,791 |
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SFRZ6 | 1,014,052 | 1,046,188 | -32,136 |
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SFRH7 | 822,163 | 811,353 | +10,810 |
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SFRM7 | 787,117 | 780,578 | +6,539 |
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SFRU7 | 682,192 | 676,469 | +5,723 |
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SFRZ7 | 749,904 | 747,999 | +1,905 |
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SFRH8 | 441,901 | 434,055 | +7,846 |
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SFRM8 | 376,942 | 377,274 | -332 |
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SFRU8 | 303,042 | 300,757 | +2,285 |
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SFRZ8 | 329,625 | 331,518 | -1,893 |
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SFRH9 | 195,480 | 193,294 | +2,186 |
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SFRM9 | 173,087 | 172,931 | +156 |
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OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - USDJPY trend Set-Up Remains Bullish
- In FX, EURUSD is in consolidation mode. A bear theme remains in place following the recent breach of the 50-day EMA and a support at 1.1646, the Sep 25 low. This signals scope for a test of 1.1516, a Fibonacci retracement. Note that moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant medium-term uptrend and suggests the move down is likely a correction - for now. Initial firm resistance is 1.1672, the 50-day EMA.
- A short-term bear condition in GBPUSD remains intact. Recent weakness has resulted in the break of a key short-term support at 1.3333, the Sep 3 low. This signals scope for a deeper retracement. Attention is on 1.3280, 76.4% of the Aug 1 - Sep 17 bull leg. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would open key support at 1.3142, the Aug 1 low. Initial resistance to watch is unchanged at 1.3422, the 20-day EMA.
- A bullish trend condition in USDJPY remains intact and the pullback from last week’s high appears corrective. Note that the trend is overbought and a deeper retracement would allow this overbought set-up to unwind. The next important support lies at 149.92, the 20-day EMA. On the upside, clearance of 153.27, the Oct 10 high, would resume the uptrend and open 154.39, the 76.4% retracement of the Jan 10 - Apr 22 bear leg.
BTP: Block Trade
BTP Block Trade, suggest buyer:
- IKZ5 ~1.1k at 121.26.
