A new survey from the Wall Street Journal has found that former President Trump is the first-choice candidate for 59% of Republican primary voters supporting the mounting evidence that Trump is unlikely to face any significance challenge to take the Republican nomination

• The Journal reports that, “GOP primary voters overwhelmingly see his four criminal prosecutions as lacking merit and about half say the indictments fuel their support for him… ….what was once a two-man race for the nomination has collapsed into a lopsided contest in which Trump, for now, has no formidable challenger.”
• The journal notes that, “Trump’s lead over his top rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, has nearly doubled since April to 46 percentage points," with DeSantis now "barely ahead of the rest of the field.”
• The poll also finds that Trump and President Biden are running a dead heat in a hypothetical 2024 matchup: “In a head-to-head test that excluded other candidates, Trump and Biden were tied, with 46% each and 8% undecided.”

Figure 1: First Choice Presidential Candidate for Primary Voters

Source: Wall Street Journal