Executive Summary:
On November 8, the United States will hold midterm elections for the Senate seats of 35 class-three Senators, all 435 seats in the House of Representatives, 39 governorships, and a plethora of state and local level offices.
- The Republican Party is favoured to take control of the House of Representatives and slightly favoured to win the Senate but, with the Senate map tilted towards Democrats and a raft of wildcards which could influence voting, the GOP will need favourable results across the board to take control of both chambers of Congress.
The MNI Political Risk team provides a full preview of the US midterm elections with implied probabilities of various scenario outcomes, key Senate and House races, an opinion polling chartpack, election wildcards, and a foreign policy brief.
Chart 1: 2022 Senate Election Consensus Map
Source: 270toWin
Please find the full article attached below:
MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Midterm Election Preview.pdf
