Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing Oct 23

Date GMT/Local Impact Period FlagCountry Release Prior Consensus
23/10/2023 1400/1600 ** Oct EU Consumer Confidence (p) -17.8 -18.1
23/10/2023 1530/1130 * 27-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
23/10/2023 1530/1130 * 27-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
24/10/2023 2200/0900 *** Sep AU Judo Bank Composite PMI (p) 51.5 --
24/10/2023 2200/0900 *** Sep AU Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI (p) 48.7 --
24/10/2023 2200/0900 *** Sep AU Judo Bank Services PMI (p) 51.8 --
24/10/2023 0030/0930 ** Oct JP Jibun Bank Flash Composite PMI 52.1 --
24/10/2023 0030/0930 ** Oct JP Jibun Bank Flash Manufacturing PMI 48.5 --
24/10/2023 0030/0930 ** Oct JP Jibun Bank Flash Services PMI 53.8 --
24/10/2023 0600/0800 * Oct DE GFK Consumer Climate -26.5 -27.0
24/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Aug UK ILO Unemployment Rate -- -- %
24/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Aug UK Unempl Claimant Count Rate -- -- %
24/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Aug UK Unemployment Claimant Count -- -- (k)
24/10/2023 0715/0915 ** Oct FR S&P Global Services PMI (p) 44.4 44.8
24/10/2023 0715/0915 ** Oct FR S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p) 44.2 44.5
24/10/2023 0730/0930 ** Oct DE S&P Global Services PMI (p) 50.3 50.0
24/10/2023 0730/0930 ** Oct DE S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p) 39.6 40.0
24/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Oct EU S&P Global Services PMI (p) 48.7 48.7
24/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Oct EU S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p) 43.4 43.5
24/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Oct EU S&P Global Composite PMI (p) 47.2 47.5
24/10/2023 0830/0930 *** Oct UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 44.3 44.8
24/10/2023 0830/0930 *** Oct UK S&P Global Services PMI (p) 49.3 49.5
24/10/2023 0830/0930 *** Oct UK S&P Global Composite PMI (p) 48.5 48.8
24/10/2023 0900/1000 * Oct UK Bid to Cover Ratio -- -- %
24/10/2023 0900/0500 * Aug US Business Inventories m/m -- -- %
24/10/2023 1000/1100 ** Oct UK CBI Order Books Balance -19.0 --
24/10/2023 1000/1100 ** Oct UK CBI Price Intentions Balance 14.0 --
24/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Oct US Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index -16.6 --
24/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 21-Oct US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month) 4.3 -- %
24/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 21-Oct US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week) 4.6 -- %
24/10/2023 1345/0945 *** Oct US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p) 49.8 49.5
24/10/2023 1345/0945 *** Oct US S&P Global Services Index (p) 50.1 49.4
24/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US Richmond Fed Mfg Index 5 --
24/10/2023 1530/1130 * 27-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
24/10/2023 1700/1300 * Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
25/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Q3 AU CPI all groups 0.9 -- %
25/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Q3 AU CPI trimmed mean 0.9 -- %
25/10/2023 0600/1400 ** Oct CN MNI China Liquidity Conditions Index 52.6 --
25/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep SE PPI m/m -0.7 -- %
25/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep SE PPI y/y -5.9 -- %
25/10/2023 0700/0900 ** Sep ES PPI m/m 1.2 -- %
25/10/2023 0700/0900 ** Sep ES PPI y/y -10.0 -- %
25/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep EU M3 3m. average -0.4 -- %
25/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep EU M3 y/y -1.3 -1.7 %
25/10/2023 0800/1000 *** Oct DE IFO Business Climate Index 85.7 85.9
25/10/2023 0900/1000 ** 27-Oct UK Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
25/10/2023 1100/0700 ** 20-Oct US MBA Mortgage Applications w/w -6.9 -- %
25/10/2023 1300/1500 ** Oct BE BNB Business Sentiment -14.4 --
25/10/2023 1400/1000 *** CA BOC Policy Decision 5 5 %
25/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US New Home Sales 0.675 0.684 (m)
25/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US Previous New Home Sales Revised (millions) -- -- (m)
25/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 20-Oct US Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w -- -- bbl (m)
25/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 20-Oct US Distillate Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
25/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 20-Oct US Gasoline Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
25/10/2023 1530/1130 ** Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
25/10/2023 1700/1300 * Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
26/10/2023 0030/1130 ** Q3 AU Export price index q/q -8.5 -- %
26/10/2023 0030/1130 ** Q3 AU Import price index q/q -0.8 -- %
26/10/2023 0700/0900 ** Oct SE Economic Tendency Indicator 85.8 --
26/10/2023 1000/1100 ** Oct UK CBI Retail Sales Expected Balance -8.0 --
26/10/2023 1000/1100 ** Oct UK CBI Retail Sales Reported Balance -14.0 --
26/10/2023 1215/1415 *** EU ECB Deposit Rate 4.0 4.0 %
26/10/2023 1215/1415 *** EU ECB Refinancing Rate 4.5 4.5 %
26/10/2023 1215/1415 *** EU ECB Lending Rate % 4.75 4.75 %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 21-Oct US Continuing Claims 1734 -- (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 21-Oct US Initial Jobless Claims 198 -- (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 21-Oct US Prev Continuing Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 21-Oct US Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Corn Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Corn Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Soy Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Soy Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Wheat Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Wheat Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 * Aug CA Average weekly earnings y/y 4.3 -- %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 * Aug CA Payroll employment 4.9 -- (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Durable Goods New Orders m/m 0.10 1.10 %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Durable New Ords (x-trnsp) m/m 0.40 0.30 %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Previous Durable Goods New Orders Ex Transportation Revised SA m/m percent change -- -- %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Previous Durable Goods New Orders Revised SA m/m percent change -- -- %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Q3 US GDP annualized QQ 2.1 -- %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Advance Goods Trade Gap -84.3 -85.5 USD (b)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Advance Retail Inventories 1.10 -- %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Advance Wholesale Inventories -0.10 -- %
26/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Sep US NAR Pending Home Sales 71.8 --
26/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Sep US Previous Pending Home Sales Index Revised, m/m -- --
26/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 20-Oct US Natural Gas Stocks w/w -- -- Bcf
26/10/2023 1500/1100 ** Oct US Kansas City Fed Mfg Index -8 --
26/10/2023 1700/1300 ** Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
27/10/2023 2330/0830 ** Oct JP Core central Tokyo CPI y/y 3.1 -- %
27/10/2023 0030/1130 * Q3 AU PPI (ex exports) q/q 0.5 -- %
27/10/2023 0030/1130 * Q3 AU PPI (ex exports) y/y 3.9 -- %
27/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep SE Retail Sales y/y -1.7 -- %
27/10/2023 0645/0845 ** Oct FR Consumer Sentiment 83.0 83.0
27/10/2023 0700/0900 *** Q3 ES GDP (p) q/q 0.5 0.3 %
27/10/2023 0700/0900 *** Q3 ES GDP (p) y/y 2.2 1.6 %
27/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Oct IT ISTAT Business Confidence 104.9 --
27/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Oct IT ISTAT Consumer Confidence 105.4 --
27/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.1 0.2 %
27/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Current Dollar PCE -- -- %
27/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Personal Income m/m 0.4 0.4 %
27/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Total PCE Price Index m/m 0.4 0.3 %
27/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US U. Mich Consumer Expectations 60.7 --
27/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US U. Mich Consumer Sentiment 63 63.2
27/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US U. Mich Current Economic Conditions 66.7 --

MNI DATA FORECASTS: October PMIs A Key Focus; ECB Meets

Last updated at:Oct-22 17:55By: Les Commons

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing Oct 23

Date GMT/Local Impact Period FlagCountry Release Prior Consensus
23/10/2023 1400/1600 ** Oct EU Consumer Confidence (p) -17.8 -18.1
23/10/2023 1530/1130 * 27-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
23/10/2023 1530/1130 * 27-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
24/10/2023 2200/0900 *** Sep AU Judo Bank Composite PMI (p) 51.5 --
24/10/2023 2200/0900 *** Sep AU Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI (p) 48.7 --
24/10/2023 2200/0900 *** Sep AU Judo Bank Services PMI (p) 51.8 --
24/10/2023 0030/0930 ** Oct JP Jibun Bank Flash Composite PMI 52.1 --
24/10/2023 0030/0930 ** Oct JP Jibun Bank Flash Manufacturing PMI 48.5 --
24/10/2023 0030/0930 ** Oct JP Jibun Bank Flash Services PMI 53.8 --
24/10/2023 0600/0800 * Oct DE GFK Consumer Climate -26.5 -27.0
24/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Aug UK ILO Unemployment Rate -- -- %
24/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Aug UK Unempl Claimant Count Rate -- -- %
24/10/2023 0600/0700 *** Aug UK Unemployment Claimant Count -- -- (k)
24/10/2023 0715/0915 ** Oct FR S&P Global Services PMI (p) 44.4 44.8
24/10/2023 0715/0915 ** Oct FR S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p) 44.2 44.5
24/10/2023 0730/0930 ** Oct DE S&P Global Services PMI (p) 50.3 50.0
24/10/2023 0730/0930 ** Oct DE S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p) 39.6 40.0
24/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Oct EU S&P Global Services PMI (p) 48.7 48.7
24/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Oct EU S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p) 43.4 43.5
24/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Oct EU S&P Global Composite PMI (p) 47.2 47.5
24/10/2023 0830/0930 *** Oct UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 44.3 44.8
24/10/2023 0830/0930 *** Oct UK S&P Global Services PMI (p) 49.3 49.5
24/10/2023 0830/0930 *** Oct UK S&P Global Composite PMI (p) 48.5 48.8
24/10/2023 0900/1000 * Oct UK Bid to Cover Ratio -- -- %
24/10/2023 0900/0500 * Aug US Business Inventories m/m -- -- %
24/10/2023 1000/1100 ** Oct UK CBI Order Books Balance -19.0 --
24/10/2023 1000/1100 ** Oct UK CBI Price Intentions Balance 14.0 --
24/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Oct US Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index -16.6 --
24/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 21-Oct US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month) 4.3 -- %
24/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 21-Oct US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week) 4.6 -- %
24/10/2023 1345/0945 *** Oct US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p) 49.8 49.5
24/10/2023 1345/0945 *** Oct US S&P Global Services Index (p) 50.1 49.4
24/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US Richmond Fed Mfg Index 5 --
24/10/2023 1530/1130 * 27-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
24/10/2023 1700/1300 * Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
25/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Q3 AU CPI all groups 0.9 -- %
25/10/2023 0030/1130 *** Q3 AU CPI trimmed mean 0.9 -- %
25/10/2023 0600/1400 ** Oct CN MNI China Liquidity Conditions Index 52.6 --
25/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep SE PPI m/m -0.7 -- %
25/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep SE PPI y/y -5.9 -- %
25/10/2023 0700/0900 ** Sep ES PPI m/m 1.2 -- %
25/10/2023 0700/0900 ** Sep ES PPI y/y -10.0 -- %
25/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep EU M3 3m. average -0.4 -- %
25/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep EU M3 y/y -1.3 -1.7 %
25/10/2023 0800/1000 *** Oct DE IFO Business Climate Index 85.7 85.9
25/10/2023 0900/1000 ** 27-Oct UK Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
25/10/2023 1100/0700 ** 20-Oct US MBA Mortgage Applications w/w -6.9 -- %
25/10/2023 1300/1500 ** Oct BE BNB Business Sentiment -14.4 --
25/10/2023 1400/1000 *** CA BOC Policy Decision 5 5 %
25/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US New Home Sales 0.675 0.684 (m)
25/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US Previous New Home Sales Revised (millions) -- -- (m)
25/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 20-Oct US Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w -- -- bbl (m)
25/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 20-Oct US Distillate Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
25/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 20-Oct US Gasoline Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
25/10/2023 1530/1130 ** Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
25/10/2023 1700/1300 * Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
26/10/2023 0030/1130 ** Q3 AU Export price index q/q -8.5 -- %
26/10/2023 0030/1130 ** Q3 AU Import price index q/q -0.8 -- %
26/10/2023 0700/0900 ** Oct SE Economic Tendency Indicator 85.8 --
26/10/2023 1000/1100 ** Oct UK CBI Retail Sales Expected Balance -8.0 --
26/10/2023 1000/1100 ** Oct UK CBI Retail Sales Reported Balance -14.0 --
26/10/2023 1215/1415 *** EU ECB Deposit Rate 4.0 4.0 %
26/10/2023 1215/1415 *** EU ECB Refinancing Rate 4.5 4.5 %
26/10/2023 1215/1415 *** EU ECB Lending Rate % 4.75 4.75 %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 21-Oct US Continuing Claims 1734 -- (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 21-Oct US Initial Jobless Claims 198 -- (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 21-Oct US Prev Continuing Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 21-Oct US Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Corn Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Corn Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Soy Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Soy Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Wheat Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 19-Oct US Wheat Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 * Aug CA Average weekly earnings y/y 4.3 -- %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 * Aug CA Payroll employment 4.9 -- (k)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Durable Goods New Orders m/m 0.10 1.10 %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Durable New Ords (x-trnsp) m/m 0.40 0.30 %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Previous Durable Goods New Orders Ex Transportation Revised SA m/m percent change -- -- %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Previous Durable Goods New Orders Revised SA m/m percent change -- -- %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Q3 US GDP annualized QQ 2.1 -- %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Advance Goods Trade Gap -84.3 -85.5 USD (b)
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Advance Retail Inventories 1.10 -- %
26/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Advance Wholesale Inventories -0.10 -- %
26/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Sep US NAR Pending Home Sales 71.8 --
26/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Sep US Previous Pending Home Sales Index Revised, m/m -- --
26/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 20-Oct US Natural Gas Stocks w/w -- -- Bcf
26/10/2023 1500/1100 ** Oct US Kansas City Fed Mfg Index -8 --
26/10/2023 1700/1300 ** Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
27/10/2023 2330/0830 ** Oct JP Core central Tokyo CPI y/y 3.1 -- %
27/10/2023 0030/1130 * Q3 AU PPI (ex exports) q/q 0.5 -- %
27/10/2023 0030/1130 * Q3 AU PPI (ex exports) y/y 3.9 -- %
27/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Sep SE Retail Sales y/y -1.7 -- %
27/10/2023 0645/0845 ** Oct FR Consumer Sentiment 83.0 83.0
27/10/2023 0700/0900 *** Q3 ES GDP (p) q/q 0.5 0.3 %
27/10/2023 0700/0900 *** Q3 ES GDP (p) y/y 2.2 1.6 %
27/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Oct IT ISTAT Business Confidence 104.9 --
27/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Oct IT ISTAT Consumer Confidence 105.4 --
27/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.1 0.2 %
27/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Current Dollar PCE -- -- %
27/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Personal Income m/m 0.4 0.4 %
27/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Sep US Total PCE Price Index m/m 0.4 0.3 %
27/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US U. Mich Consumer Expectations 60.7 --
27/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US U. Mich Consumer Sentiment 63 63.2
27/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US U. Mich Current Economic Conditions 66.7 --